Pre-match

Medium risk

Jayxun vs Yaypan

Tue, Aug 25, 12:30 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 67/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Jayxun (WLLDL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Yaypan (LDDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 67/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

67/100

Confidence

67/100

Strongest cover

73.6% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.4% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

56 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

J win41%

Draw26.4%

Y win32.6%

Goals

Over 1.573.2%

Over 2.552.2%

Under 2.547.8%

Both teams to score

Yes56.3%

No43.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Jayxun

4/15 recent form points

WLLDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Yaypan

8/15 recent form points

LDDWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.19
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 24, 08:27 PM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Yaypan 2-0 Jayxun

2026-04-20T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	BetfairBest price +4.3%	3.50	28.6%	26.4%	-2.2%
	Bet365	3.40	29.4%	26.4%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	3.34	29.9%	26.4%	-3.5%
	1xBet	3.34	29.9%	26.4%	-3.5%
	Superbet	3.30	30.3%	26.4%	-3.9%
	Betano	3.25	30.8%	26.4%	-4.4%
Away 1X2	1xBetBest price +1.9%	2.81	35.6%	32.6%	-3.0%
	Betano	2.77	36.1%	32.6%	-3.5%
	Superbet	2.77	36.1%	32.6%	-3.5%
	Bet365	2.75	36.4%	32.6%	-3.8%
	Marathonbet	2.75	36.4%	32.6%	-3.8%
	Betfair	2.70	37.0%	32.6%	-4.4%
Home 1X2	BetanoBest price +1.0%	2.25	44.4%	41.0%	-3.4%
	Superbet	2.25	44.4%	41.0%	-3.4%
	1xBet	2.24	44.6%	41.0%	-3.6%
	Marathonbet	2.22	45.0%	41.0%	-4.0%
	Bet365	2.20	45.5%	41.0%	-4.5%
	Betfair	2.20	45.5%	41.0%	-4.5%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +2.9%	2.00	50.0%	47.8%	-2.2%
	Betfair	1.95	51.3%	47.8%	-3.5%
	Superbet	1.95	51.3%	47.8%	-3.5%
	Marathonbet	1.93	51.8%	47.8%	-4.0%
	1xBet	1.93	51.8%	47.8%	-4.0%
	Betano	1.90	52.6%	47.8%	-4.8%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +2.1%	1.80	55.6%	52.2%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	1.76	56.8%	52.2%	-4.6%
	1xBet	1.76	56.8%	52.2%	-4.6%
	Superbet	1.76	56.8%	52.2%	-4.6%
	Betfair	1.75	57.1%	52.2%	-4.9%
	Betano	1.75	57.1%	52.2%	-4.9%
No BTTS	1xBetBest price +0.9%	2.13	46.9%	43.7%	-3.2%
	Superbet	2.12	47.2%	43.7%	-3.5%
	Betfair	2.10	47.6%	43.7%	-3.9%
	Marathonbet	2.09	47.8%	43.7%	-4.1%
Yes BTTS	BetfairBest price +1.4%	1.65	60.6%	56.3%	-4.3%
	Superbet	1.64	61.0%	56.3%	-4.7%
	Marathonbet	1.61	62.1%	56.3%	-5.8%
	1xBet	1.61	62.1%	56.3%	-5.8%
Draw or Away Double Chance	BetfairBest price +2.5%	1.57	63.7%	0.0%	-63.7%
	Bet365	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	Marathonbet	1.52	65.8%	0.0%	-65.8%
	1xBet	1.52	65.8%	0.0%	-65.8%
	Betano	1.52	65.8%	0.0%	-65.8%
	Superbet	1.51	66.2%	0.0%	-66.2%
Home or Draw Double Chance	BetfairBest price +3.2%	1.40	71.4%	0.0%	-71.4%
	Bet365	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Betano	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Marathonbet	1.34	74.6%	0.0%	-74.6%
	1xBet	1.34	74.6%	0.0%	-74.6%
	Superbet	1.34	74.6%	0.0%	-74.6%
Home or Away Double Chance	BetanoBest price +2.4%	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	1xBet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	Superbet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%

Model reasoning

Jayxun at home have scored 16 goals and conceded 23 across 16 matches, with 5 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed (WLLDL), suggesting they can struggle to consistently keep games tight, even if they do manage some shutouts. Yaypan away have scored 19 and conceded 25 in 16 matches, also with 5 clean sheets. Their recent form (LDDWW) looks stronger than Jayxun’s, and their goal output away is slightly better, which supports the idea that both sides can find scoring chances. With both teams’ season totals showing relatively close scoring and conceding rates, the matchup profile leans toward both teams scoring. The provided probabilities reflect this, with both teams to score at 56.3%, and over 2.5 goals at 52.2%, so a low-to-moderate scoring game is plausible rather than guaranteed. The home win and away win probabilities are fairly balanced (41.0% vs 32.6%) with a notable draw chance (26.4%), which fits a scenario where scoring is shared but results can still swing. Overall, BTTS Yes looks like the best fit among the listed outcomes, with medium risk and confidence at 67.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Mon, 24 Aug 2026 23:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.