UEFA Champions League
Pre-match
Medium risk

Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Tue, Aug 25, 04:45 PMTofiq Bahramov Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 65/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

Sabah FA (WWLWL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (LWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 65/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

65/100

Confidence
65/100

Strongest cover

1X

74.9% probability

Risk classification

Medium

28.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SF win46.9%
Draw28%
HBS win25.1%

Goals

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Sabah FA

9/15 recent form points

WWLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.86
Shots on target
Unavailable

Hapoel Beer Sheva

12/15 recent form points

LWWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.60
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Sabah FA

2026-08-19T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Sabah FA at home have been strong in this sample, with 5 wins from 7 matches and a solid defensive record of 5 goals conceded and 4 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed but positive overall, with the sequence WWLWL suggesting they can win consistently while occasionally dropping points. Hapoel Beer Sheva away have also been effective, winning 4 of 5 matches and conceding only 3 goals, with 3 clean sheets. Their recent run LWWWW points to strong momentum, even though their overall away sample is smaller. The market probabilities lean toward a tight contest, with home win at 46.9% versus draw at 28.0% and away win at 25.1%. Both teams to score is slightly favored at 48.0%, and over 2.5 goals is at 42.3%, which suggests a game that may not be high-scoring but still has some chance of goals from both sides. With these factors, a home win is a reasonable lean rather than a certainty, aligning with the 65 confidence score and the medium risk level. The main uncertainty is that Hapoel’s away form and clean-sheet rate keep the away upset in play.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: Sabah FA predictions · Hapoel Beer Sheva predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.