Andijan vs Xorazm

Andijan at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Xorazm, with 7W 3D 8L versus 5W 5D 8L. They also have a better goal balance, scoring 23 and conceding 20, while Xorazm score 17 and concede 27, suggesting Andijan are more likely to create and limit chances at home. In recent form, Andijan’s sequence is WDLLW, which includes two losses but also a win in their latest stretch. Xorazm’s recent form is WLWDL, showing more consistency in avoiding defeat, though their away goal concession rate is higher overall (27 conceded in 18). The market lean toward a home win fits the underlying defensive gap: Andijan have 7 clean sheets compared with Xorazm’s 5. That said, the draw probability is still meaningful at 26.0%, and Xorazm’s ability to pick up points is reflected in their 5 draws. For goals, both teams to score is just under even at 47.3%, and over 2.5 goals sits at 44.8%, so a tight match is plausible rather than a high-scoring one. Overall, the home win case looks reasonable, but the moderate goal indicators and Xorazm’s recent results keep the outcome from looking fully one-sided.