Pre-match

High risk

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Csikszereda

Thu, Aug 20, 02:00 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 43/100

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

CSA Steaua Bucureşti (L) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1.7 for Csikszereda (WDLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 43/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

43/100

Confidence

43/100

Strongest cover

90.7% probability

Risk classification

High

17.4% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

55 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

CSB win9.3%

Draw17.4%

C win73.3%

Goals

Over 1.578.8%

Over 2.553.6%

Under 2.546.4%

Both teams to score

Yes41%

No59%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

0/3 recent form points

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Csikszereda

7/12 recent form points

WDLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 3.50
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/6 and Over 2.5 in 1/6.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 20, 12:49 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0-0 Csikszereda

2025-04-30T16:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Csikszereda 0-0 CSA Steaua Bucureşti

2025-04-03T16:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0-0 Csikszereda

2024-09-30T17:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1-0 Csikszereda

2023-11-13T16:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0-4 Csikszereda

2022-08-23T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1-0 Csikszereda

2021-08-04T19:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Home 1X2	MarathonbetBest price +27.8%	11.50	8.7%	9.3%	+0.6%
	Unibet	10.00	10.0%	9.3%	-0.7%
	Betfair	9.50	10.5%	9.3%	-1.2%
	BetVictor	8.00	12.5%	9.3%	-3.2%
	William Hill	7.50	13.3%	9.3%	-4.0%
	Bet365	7.50	13.3%	9.3%	-4.0%
Draw 1X2	UnibetBest price +12.7%	5.50	18.2%	17.4%	-0.8%
	Marathonbet	5.35	18.7%	17.4%	-1.3%
	William Hill	5.00	20.0%	17.4%	-2.6%
	Betfair	5.00	20.0%	17.4%	-2.6%
	Bet365	4.33	23.1%	17.4%	-5.7%
	BetVictor	4.10	24.4%	17.4%	-7.0%
Away 1X2	Bet365Best price +8.2%	1.36	73.5%	73.3%	-0.2%
	William Hill	1.30	76.9%	73.3%	-3.6%
	Unibet	1.26	79.4%	73.3%	-6.1%
	Betfair	1.22	82.0%	73.3%	-8.7%
	Marathonbet	1.20	83.3%	73.3%	-10.0%
	BetVictor	1.20	83.3%	73.3%	-10.0%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +9.8%	2.15	46.5%	46.4%	-0.1%
	Betfair	2.00	50.0%	46.4%	-3.6%
	Marathonbet	1.99	50.3%	46.4%	-3.9%
	Unibet	1.86	53.8%	46.4%	-7.4%
	BetVictor	1.79	55.9%	46.4%	-9.5%
Over 2.5 Totals	UnibetBest price +6.5%	1.81	55.2%	53.6%	-1.6%
	Marathonbet	1.73	57.8%	53.6%	-4.2%
	Betfair	1.73	57.8%	53.6%	-4.2%
	Bet365	1.67	59.9%	53.6%	-6.3%
	BetVictor	1.56	64.1%	53.6%	-10.5%
Yes BTTS	BetfairBest price +6.7%	2.40	41.7%	41.0%	-0.7%
	Unibet	2.35	42.6%	41.0%	-1.6%
	Marathonbet	2.30	43.5%	41.0%	-2.5%
	William Hill	2.25	44.4%	41.0%	-3.4%
	BetVictor	1.95	51.3%	41.0%	-10.3%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +4.1%	1.57	63.7%	59.0%	-4.7%
	Marathonbet	1.52	65.8%	59.0%	-6.8%
	Unibet	1.50	66.7%	59.0%	-7.7%
	Betfair	1.50	66.7%	59.0%	-7.7%
	BetVictor	1.45	69.0%	59.0%	-10.0%
Home or Draw Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price +9.8%	3.65	27.4%	0.0%	-27.4%
	Betfair	3.60	27.8%	0.0%	-27.8%
	Unibet	3.35	29.9%	0.0%	-29.9%
	William Hill	3.30	30.3%	0.0%	-30.3%
	BetVictor	3.30	30.3%	0.0%	-30.3%
	Bet365	2.75	36.4%	0.0%	-36.4%
Home or Away Double Chance	Bet365Best price +5.1%	1.17	85.5%	0.0%	-85.5%
	William Hill	1.15	87.0%	0.0%	-87.0%
	Betfair	1.13	88.5%	0.0%	-88.5%
	Unibet	1.11	90.1%	0.0%	-90.1%
	Marathonbet	1.08	92.6%	0.0%	-92.6%
	BetVictor	1.04	96.2%	0.0%	-96.2%
Draw or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.1%	1.08	92.6%	0.0%	-92.6%
	Bet365	1.06	94.3%	0.0%	-94.3%
	BetVictor	1.06	94.3%	0.0%	-94.3%
	Betfair	1.05	95.2%	0.0%	-95.2%
	Unibet	1.04	96.2%	0.0%	-96.2%

Model reasoning

Csikszereda look more likely to win this cup tie based on their stronger overall results in the sample provided. They have 2 wins and 1 draw in 4 away matches, while CSA Steaua Bucureşti are 0-0-1 in their single match shown, with 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. The goal profile also leans toward Csikszereda. Csikszereda have scored 14 and conceded 3 across 4 matches, including 2 clean sheets, whereas Steaua have 0 goals and 2 conceded in the one match listed. That combination supports the away win probability being much higher than the home win probability. There is still some uncertainty, reflected in the draw chance and the moderate scoring indicators. Over 2.5 goals is only slightly above coin-flip at 53.6%, and both teams to score sits at 41.0%, so the match could be tighter than the away-win lean suggests. With an away win probability of 73.3% but a confidence score of 43 and a high risk level, the prediction is more of a directional edge than a firm call.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 01:14 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: CSA Steaua Bucureşti predictions · Csikszereda predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.