Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 63/100
Under 2.5 Goals
Bunyodkor (LLLLL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.1 for Kokand-1912 (LLLDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 63/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
63/100
Strongest cover
12
71.3% probability
Risk classification
High
28.7% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Bunyodkor
0/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.19
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Kokand-1912
4/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.88
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 4/9.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 19, 08:19 PM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Kokand-1912 1-0 Bunyodkor
2026-05-03T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kokand-1912 2-2 Bunyodkor
2025-09-28T14:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kokand-1912 1-1 Bunyodkor
2025-06-18T16:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Bunyodkor 1-2 Kokand-1912
2025-05-02T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kokand-1912 0-1 Bunyodkor
2022-11-07T12:15:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bunyodkor 1-1 Kokand-1912
2022-06-21T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Bunyodkor 2-1 Kokand-1912
2021-09-10T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kokand-1912 0-0 Bunyodkor
2021-04-02T13:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kokand-1912 2-1 Bunyodkor
2020-09-27T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +2.9% | 3.20 | 31.3% | 28.7% | -2.6% |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 31.7% | 28.7% | -3.0% | |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 31.9% | 28.7% | -3.2% | |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.7% | -3.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 32.5% | 28.7% | -3.8% | |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 33.3% | 28.7% | -4.6% | |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +3.8% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 34.1% | -1.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 36.4% | 34.1% | -2.3% | |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 37.0% | 34.1% | -2.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 37.2% | 34.1% | -3.1% | |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 38.0% | 34.1% | -3.9% | |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.1% | -4.1% | |
Away 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +2.5% | 2.48 | 40.3% | 37.2% | -3.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.2% | -3.6% | |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.2% | -4.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.2% | -4.5% | |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.2% | -4.5% | |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 42.0% | 37.2% | -4.8% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +2.4% | 2.13 | 46.9% | 45.0% | -1.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 45.0% | -2.6% | |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 47.6% | 45.0% | -2.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 48.3% | 45.0% | -3.3% | |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.0% | -5.0% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetfairBest price +2.4% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 55.0% | -2.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 58.8% | 55.0% | -3.8% | |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 59.2% | 55.0% | -4.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.0% | -4.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.0% | -5.2% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +3.4% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 48.8% | -2.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.8% | -3.8% | |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.8% | -5.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 54.3% | 48.8% | -5.5% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.2% | -4.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.2% | -4.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.2% | -4.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.2% | -4.4% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +2.9% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +1.2% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.6% | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 0.0% | -78.7% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:49 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
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Team hubs: Bunyodkor predictions · Kokand-1912 predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.