Polisi Tanzania vs JKT Tanzania
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 35/100
Under 2.5 Goals
Polisi Tanzania (WWWL) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 0.9 for JKT Tanzania (LLDWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
35/100
Strongest cover
X2
70.2% probability
Risk classification
High
30.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Polisi Tanzania
9/12 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.75
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
JKT Tanzania
4/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.00
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/4 and Over 2.5 in 0/4.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 20, 12:47 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
JKT Tanzania 1-1 Polisi Tanzania
2021-02-18T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Polisi Tanzania 1-1 JKT Tanzania
2020-09-18T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Polisi Tanzania 1-1 JKT Tanzania
2020-07-23T21:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
JKT Tanzania 0-1 Polisi Tanzania
2020-02-01T18:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | Bet365Best price +3.3% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.8% | -1.0% |
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 31.1% | 29.8% | -1.3% | |
| Betano | 3.20 | 31.3% | 29.8% | -1.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.15 | 31.7% | 29.8% | -1.9% | |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.8% | -2.5% | |
| Unibet | 2.95 | 33.9% | 29.8% | -4.1% | |
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +3.0% | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.6% | -2.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30.6% | -3.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30.6% | -3.9% | |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30.6% | -3.9% | |
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30.6% | -3.9% | |
| Betano | 2.87 | 34.8% | 30.6% | -4.2% | |
Away 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +1.0% | 2.24 | 44.6% | 39.6% | -5.0% |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 44.8% | 39.6% | -5.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 45.0% | 39.6% | -5.4% | |
| Betano | 2.22 | 45.0% | 39.6% | -5.4% | |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 39.6% | -5.9% | |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 45.5% | 39.6% | -5.9% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.5% | 2.38 | 42.0% | 41.2% | -0.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 43.3% | 41.2% | -2.1% | |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 43.3% | 41.2% | -2.1% | |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.2% | -3.2% | |
| Betano | 2.22 | 45.0% | 41.2% | -3.8% | |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 48.5% | 41.2% | -7.3% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | UnibetBest price +4.5% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 58.8% | -2.9% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.8% | -4.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 58.8% | -6.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 65.4% | 58.8% | -6.6% | |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 65.4% | 58.8% | -6.6% | |
| Betano | 1.52 | 65.8% | 58.8% | -7.0% | |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price | 1.95 | 51.3% | 47.1% | -4.2% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 51.3% | 47.1% | -4.2% | |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 51.3% | 47.1% | -4.2% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +1.0% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 52.9% | -4.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 57.5% | 52.9% | -4.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 52.9% | -5.6% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +5.5% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 0.0% | -61.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 64.5% | 0.0% | -64.5% | |
| Betano | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 65.8% | 0.0% | -65.8% | |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 65.8% | 0.0% | -65.8% | |
| Unibet | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | BetanoBest price +2.2% | 1.34 | 74.6% | 0.0% | -74.6% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 76.3% | 0.0% | -76.3% | |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 76.3% | 0.0% | -76.3% | |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Unibet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +2.2% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| Betano | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% | |
| Unibet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 0.0% | -78.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% | |
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:43 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
- Elva vs MaarduEsiliiga A · Thu 20 Aug, 11:30
- Aryan vs MeasurersCalcutta Premier Division · Thu 20 Aug, 11:30
- Johvi Phoenix vs JK TabasaluEsiliiga B · Thu 20 Aug, 14:00
- Van vs SyunikPremier League · Thu 20 Aug, 14:00
- Drukpa vs Thimphu CityPremier League · Thu 20 Aug, 14:00
- Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912Super League · Thu 20 Aug, 16:00
Team hubs: Polisi Tanzania predictions · JKT Tanzania predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.