Ligi kuu Bara
Pre-match
High risk

Polisi Tanzania vs JKT Tanzania

Thu, Aug 20, 01:00 PMSheikh Amri Abeid Memorial Stadium

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 35/100

Model verdict
High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Polisi Tanzania (WWWL) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 0.9 for JKT Tanzania (LLDWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

X2

70.2% probability

Risk classification

High

30.6% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

54 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

PT win29.8%
Draw30.6%
JT win39.6%

Goals

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Under 2.558.8%

Both teams to score

Yes47.1%
No52.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Polisi Tanzania

9/12 recent form points

WWWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

JKT Tanzania

4/15 recent form points

LLDWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/4 and Over 2.5 in 0/4.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
Aug 20, 12:47 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

JKT Tanzania 1-1 Polisi Tanzania

2021-02-18T12:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Polisi Tanzania 1-1 JKT Tanzania

2020-09-18T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Polisi Tanzania 1-1 JKT Tanzania

2020-07-23T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

JKT Tanzania 0-1 Polisi Tanzania

2020-02-01T18:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Home
1X2
Bet365Best price +3.3%3.2530.8%29.8%-1.0%
1xBet3.2231.1%29.8%-1.3%
Betano3.2031.3%29.8%-1.4%
Marathonbet3.1531.7%29.8%-1.9%
Betfair3.1032.3%29.8%-2.5%
Unibet2.9533.9%29.8%-4.1%
Draw
1X2
BetfairBest price +3.0%3.0033.3%30.6%-2.7%
Bet3652.9034.5%30.6%-3.9%
Marathonbet2.9034.5%30.6%-3.9%
Unibet2.9034.5%30.6%-3.9%
1xBet2.9034.5%30.6%-3.9%
Betano2.8734.8%30.6%-4.2%
Away
1X2
1xBetBest price +1.0%2.2444.6%39.6%-5.0%
Unibet2.2344.8%39.6%-5.2%
Marathonbet2.2245.0%39.6%-5.4%
Betano2.2245.0%39.6%-5.4%
Bet3652.2045.5%39.6%-5.9%
Betfair2.2045.5%39.6%-5.9%
Over 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +5.5%2.3842.0%41.2%-0.8%
Marathonbet2.3143.3%41.2%-2.1%
1xBet2.3143.3%41.2%-2.1%
Betfair2.2544.4%41.2%-3.2%
Betano2.2245.0%41.2%-3.8%
Unibet2.0648.5%41.2%-7.3%
Under 2.5
Totals
UnibetBest price +4.5%1.6261.7%58.8%-2.9%
Betfair1.5763.7%58.8%-4.9%
Bet3651.5365.4%58.8%-6.6%
Marathonbet1.5365.4%58.8%-6.6%
1xBet1.5365.4%58.8%-6.6%
Betano1.5265.8%58.8%-7.0%
Yes
BTTS
MarathonbetBest price1.9551.3%47.1%-4.2%
Betfair1.9551.3%47.1%-4.2%
1xBet1.9551.3%47.1%-4.2%
No
BTTS
BetfairBest price +1.0%1.7557.1%52.9%-4.2%
1xBet1.7457.5%52.9%-4.6%
Marathonbet1.7158.5%52.9%-5.6%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
BetfairBest price +5.5%1.6261.7%0.0%-61.7%
Bet3651.5564.5%0.0%-64.5%
Betano1.5365.4%0.0%-65.4%
Marathonbet1.5265.8%0.0%-65.8%
1xBet1.5265.8%0.0%-65.8%
Unibet1.4768.0%0.0%-68.0%
Home or Away
Double Chance
BetanoBest price +2.2%1.3474.6%0.0%-74.6%
Betfair1.3375.2%0.0%-75.2%
Marathonbet1.3176.3%0.0%-76.3%
1xBet1.3176.3%0.0%-76.3%
Bet3651.3076.9%0.0%-76.9%
Unibet1.2878.1%0.0%-78.1%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
BetfairBest price +2.2%1.3076.9%0.0%-76.9%
Betano1.2977.5%0.0%-77.5%
Unibet1.2778.7%0.0%-78.7%
Marathonbet1.2679.4%0.0%-79.4%
1xBet1.2679.4%0.0%-79.4%
Bet3651.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%

Model reasoning

Polisi Tanzania at home have been very hard to break down, conceding just 2 goals in 4 matches and keeping 2 clean sheets. Their recent run includes three wins in their last four games, and their overall goal record suggests they can limit opponents even if they don’t always dominate possession. JKT Tanzania’s away profile looks more mixed, with 30 matches yielding 10 wins but also 8 losses, and they’ve scored 30 while conceding 33 overall. Their recent form includes two losses in their last four, and their defensive numbers imply they can be vulnerable on the road, which can keep matches from turning into high-scoring shootouts. With Polisi conceding so little at home and JKT’s overall goal difference not indicating a strong scoring edge, the match is more likely to stay tight. The probabilities provided also lean toward fewer goals, with over 2.5 goals at 41.2% and both teams to score at 47.1%, supporting an Under 2.5 Goals angle, though the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high. So, the Under 2.5 Goals prediction fits the combination of Polisi’s strong defensive output at home and JKT’s less consistent scoring/conceding pattern away, but it’s not a lock given the draw and away-win probabilities.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:43 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Polisi Tanzania predictions · JKT Tanzania predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.