Pre-match

High risk

Aryan vs Measurers

Thu, Aug 20, 09:30 AM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 57/100

Model verdict

High risk

Home Win

Aryan (LWDDD) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1.2 for Measurers (DWDDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 57/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

57/100

Confidence

57/100

Strongest cover

73.5% probability

Risk classification

High

26.5% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

54 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

A win46.6%

Draw26.5%

M win26.9%

Goals

Over 1.571.2%

Over 2.547.8%

Under 2.552.2%

Both teams to score

Yes51.9%

No48.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Aryan

6/15 recent form points

LWDDD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.86
Shots on target: Unavailable

Measurers

9/15 recent form points

DWDDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.83
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Measurers 2-2 Aryan

2024-08-03T11:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	William HillBest price +1.8%	3.40	29.4%	26.5%	-2.9%
	Bet365	3.40	29.4%	26.5%	-2.9%
	Marathonbet	3.34	29.9%	26.5%	-3.4%
	1xBet	3.34	29.9%	26.5%	-3.4%
	Betfair	3.30	30.3%	26.5%	-3.8%
	10Bet	3.25	30.8%	26.5%	-4.3%
Away 1X2	William HillBest price +1.4%	3.40	29.4%	26.9%	-2.5%
	Bet365	3.40	29.4%	26.9%	-2.5%
	1xBet	3.36	29.8%	26.9%	-2.9%
	10Bet	3.35	29.9%	26.9%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	3.30	30.3%	26.9%	-3.4%
	Betfair	3.30	30.3%	26.9%	-3.4%
Home 1X2	1xBetBest price +2.0%	1.98	50.5%	46.6%	-3.9%
	Marathonbet	1.96	51.0%	46.6%	-4.4%
	10Bet	1.95	51.3%	46.6%	-4.7%
	Betfair	1.95	51.3%	46.6%	-4.7%
	William Hill	1.91	52.4%	46.6%	-5.8%
	Bet365	1.90	52.6%	46.6%	-6.0%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +4.0%	2.00	50.0%	47.8%	-2.2%
	Marathonbet	1.93	51.8%	47.8%	-4.0%
	1xBet	1.93	51.8%	47.8%	-4.0%
	Betfair	1.91	52.4%	47.8%	-4.6%
	10Bet	1.85	54.1%	47.8%	-6.3%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +1.5%	1.80	55.6%	52.2%	-3.4%
	Betfair	1.80	55.6%	52.2%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	1.76	56.8%	52.2%	-4.6%
	1xBet	1.76	56.8%	52.2%	-4.6%
	10Bet	1.75	57.1%	52.2%	-4.9%
No BTTS	BetfairBest price +4.7%	2.00	50.0%	48.1%	-1.9%
	1xBet	1.91	52.4%	48.1%	-4.3%
	Marathonbet	1.88	53.2%	48.1%	-5.1%
	William Hill	1.85	54.1%	48.1%	-6.0%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +2.1%	1.80	55.6%	51.9%	-3.7%
	Marathonbet	1.76	56.8%	51.9%	-4.9%
	1xBet	1.76	56.8%	51.9%	-4.9%
	Betfair	1.73	57.8%	51.9%	-5.9%
Draw or Away Double Chance	Bet365Best price +4.1%	1.80	55.6%	0.0%	-55.6%
	10Bet	1.75	57.1%	0.0%	-57.1%
	William Hill	1.75	57.1%	0.0%	-57.1%
	Betfair	1.73	57.8%	0.0%	-57.8%
	Marathonbet	1.67	59.9%	0.0%	-59.9%
	1xBet	1.67	59.9%	0.0%	-59.9%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +3.4%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Betfair	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	1xBet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	10Bet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
Home or Draw Double Chance	BetfairBest price +3.3%	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	William Hill	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	1xBet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	10Bet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%

Model reasoning

Aryan at home have been hard to break down, with 4 clean sheets in 7 matches and a low goals conceded total of 5. Their recent form is mixed but includes multiple draws (LWDDD), which aligns with a cautious edge rather than a dominant run of wins. Measurers are unbeaten in their 6 matches (2W 4D 0L) and have been more productive in attack, scoring 11 goals while conceding 7. Their recent sequence (DWDDW) suggests they can avoid defeat and still contribute offensively, even if they haven’t been consistently winning. The goal profile points toward a fairly open game: both teams to score is favored (51.9%), and over 2.5 goals is also slightly more likely (47.8%). With Aryan’s strong defensive record and Measurers’ unbeaten away run, the home win case is plausible but not strongly supported, which matches the moderate confidence (57) and higher risk level.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:21 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

More predictions

All Calcutta Premier Division predictions →

Team hubs: Aryan predictions · Measurers predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.