Tottenham vs Newcastle

Tottenham at home have a slightly stronger overall profile than Newcastle, with 10 wins, 11 draws, and 17 losses at home, plus 48 goals scored and 57 conceded across the season. Their recent run includes two wins and two losses in the last five results (WWDLW), suggesting they can produce results, though inconsistency remains. Newcastle’s away record is more win-heavy than Tottenham’s home record, with 14 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses away, and 53 goals scored with 55 conceded. Their recent form is mixed (LWDWL), which points to competitiveness but not dominance. The goal outlook is fairly balanced, with over 2.5 goals at 50.3% and both teams to score at 54.8%, indicating a modest lean toward a match where both sides find chances. With the home win probability at 44.2% versus 29.0% for an away win and 26.8% for a draw, Tottenham are the slight favorite, but the relatively low confidence score and the close draw/away chances make the home win call higher risk.