U19 League
Finished
High risk

Obolon' Kyiv U19 vs Karpaty Lviv U19

02Full time
Wed, Aug 12, 12:30 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 51/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Obolon' Kyiv U19 (WDLLW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.4 for Karpaty Lviv U19 (WLLLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 51/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

51/100

Confidence
51/100

Strongest cover

12

75.0% probability

Risk classification

High

25.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

OKU win45%
Draw25%
KLU win30%

Goals

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%

Both teams to score

Yes61%
No39%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Obolon' Kyiv U19

7/15 recent form points

WDLLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.07
Shots on target
Unavailable

Karpaty Lviv U19

3/15 recent form points

WLLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.80
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/5 and Over 2.5 in 2/5.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Obolon' Kyiv U19 0-2 Karpaty Lviv U19

2026-08-12T14:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Karpaty Lviv U19 0-0 Obolon' Kyiv U19

2026-03-21T12:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Obolon' Kyiv U19 2-3 Karpaty Lviv U19

2025-09-21T11:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Obolon' Kyiv U19 0-1 Karpaty Lviv U19

2025-04-25T11:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Karpaty Lviv U19 4-0 Obolon' Kyiv U19

2024-10-25T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Obolon' Kyiv U19 have scored 32 goals and conceded 46 across 30 matches, with 11 clean sheets. Karpaty Lviv U19 have scored 54 and conceded 57, but only 4 clean sheets, which suggests both sides have been involved in games with goals rather than consistently shutting opponents out. The recent form leans slightly toward a goal scenario. Obolon' Kyiv U19’s last five results are WDLLW, while Karpaty Lviv U19’s are WLLLL, indicating Karpaty have struggled recently, but their season scoring output remains relatively strong. With both teams to score priced at 61.0% and over 2.5 goals at 58.1%, the matchup profile supports BTTS Yes more than a low-scoring outcome. The win probabilities are fairly balanced (home 45.0%, draw 25.0%, away 30.0%), which also fits a scenario where neither side fully controls the game. Confidence is moderate at 51 with a high risk level, mainly because Karpaty’s recent form is weak (WLLLL), which could reduce their ability to convert chances even if the season-level goal rates suggest they can.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-2

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 61.0% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.3462 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 12 Aug 2026 09:00 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Obolon' Kyiv U19 predictions · Karpaty Lviv U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.