El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 50/100
Under 2.5 Goals
El Seka El Hadid (WLLDD) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 0.9 for Tersana (DWDDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 50/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
50/100
Strongest cover
1X
71.5% probability
Risk classification
High
33.4% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
52 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
El Seka El Hadid
5/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.82
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Tersana
7/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.91
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/7 and Over 2.5 in 2/7.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 21, 10:22 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Tersana 1-2 El Seka El Hadid
2026-01-08T13:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
El Seka El Hadid 0-0 Tersana
2025-08-22T17:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tersana 0-0 El Seka El Hadid
2025-04-09T18:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
El Seka El Hadid 0-1 Tersana
2024-12-03T13:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
El Seka El Hadid 0-0 Tersana
2023-05-19T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tersana 1-2 El Seka El Hadid
2022-02-25T14:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
El Seka El Hadid 0-2 Tersana
2021-10-29T14:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | William HillBest price +6.2% | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.5% | -1.8% |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 30.8% | 28.5% | -2.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 31.3% | 28.5% | -2.8% | |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 28.5% | -4.8% | |
| 10Bet | 2.95 | 33.9% | 28.5% | -5.4% | |
| Unibet | 2.95 | 33.9% | 28.5% | -5.4% | |
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +3.9% | 2.78 | 36.0% | 33.4% | -2.6% |
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 37.0% | 33.4% | -3.6% | |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 37.0% | 33.4% | -3.6% | |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 37.7% | 33.4% | -4.3% | |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 38.2% | 33.4% | -4.8% | |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 38.5% | 33.4% | -5.1% | |
Home 1X2 | Bet365Best price +4.7% | 2.50 | 40.0% | 38.1% | -1.9% |
| 10Bet | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.1% | -2.7% | |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 41.2% | 38.1% | -3.1% | |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 42.0% | 38.1% | -3.9% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 38.1% | -5.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 44.1% | 38.1% | -6.0% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +7.2% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 30.4% | -0.4% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.4% | -2.9% | |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.4% | -2.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 34.7% | 30.4% | -4.3% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +1.1% | 1.33 | 75.2% | 69.6% | -5.6% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 75.2% | 69.6% | -5.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 75.8% | 69.6% | -6.2% | |
| Unibet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 69.6% | -8.5% | |
Yes BTTS | UnibetBest price +1.5% | 2.35 | 42.6% | 39.7% | -2.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 43.3% | 39.7% | -3.6% | |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.7% | -3.8% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.7% | -3.8% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +3.0% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 60.3% | -3.4% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 63.7% | 60.3% | -3.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 66.7% | 60.3% | -6.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.46 | 68.5% | 60.3% | -8.2% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.8% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 67.1% | 0.0% | -67.1% | |
| 10Bet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% | -67.6% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +4.9% | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.34 | 74.6% | 0.0% | -74.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +1.7% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| 10Bet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| Unibet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 21 Aug 2026 12:00 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
Team hubs: El Seka El Hadid predictions · Tersana predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.