Pre-match

High risk

Miedź Legnica II vs Odra Bytom Odrzański

Wed, Aug 19, 02:00 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 35/100

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

Miedź Legnica II (LWWWW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.5 for Odra Bytom Odrzański (WWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence

35/100

Strongest cover

76.0% probability

Risk classification

High

24.0% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

48 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

MLI win44%

Draw24%

OBO win32%

Goals

Over 1.578.3%

Over 2.560.6%

Under 2.539.4%

Both teams to score

Yes63%

No37%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Miedź Legnica II

12/15 recent form points

LWWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.82
Shots on target: Unavailable

Odra Bytom Odrzański

9/9 recent form points

WWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.67
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 2/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 19, 12:00 PM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Miedź Legnica II 7-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański

2025-04-11T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odra Bytom Odrzański 6-1 Miedź Legnica II

2024-09-14T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	BetfairBest price +9.9%	4.00	25.0%	24.0%	-1.0%
	Bet365	3.70	27.0%	24.0%	-3.0%
	10Bet	3.65	27.4%	24.0%	-3.4%
	Unibet	3.55	28.2%	24.0%	-4.2%
	Marathonbet	3.54	28.2%	24.0%	-4.2%
	William Hill	3.40	29.4%	24.0%	-5.4%
Away 1X2	UnibetBest price +7.4%	3.05	32.8%	32.0%	-0.8%
	Marathonbet	2.92	34.2%	32.0%	-2.2%
	William Hill	2.90	34.5%	32.0%	-2.5%
	10Bet	2.80	35.7%	32.0%	-3.7%
	Betfair	2.75	36.4%	32.0%	-4.4%
	Bet365	2.62	38.2%	32.0%	-6.2%
Home 1X2	Bet365Best price +5.3%	2.15	46.5%	44.0%	-2.5%
	10Bet	2.05	48.8%	44.0%	-4.8%
	William Hill	2.05	48.8%	44.0%	-4.8%
	Marathonbet	2.05	48.8%	44.0%	-4.8%
	Betfair	2.00	50.0%	44.0%	-6.0%
	Unibet	1.95	51.3%	44.0%	-7.3%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +1.9%	2.38	42.0%	39.4%	-2.6%
	Marathonbet	2.35	42.6%	39.4%	-3.2%
	Unibet	2.28	43.9%	39.4%	-4.5%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +2.2%	1.53	65.4%	60.6%	-4.8%
	Unibet	1.49	67.1%	60.6%	-6.5%
	Marathonbet	1.47	68.0%	60.6%	-7.4%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +1.6%	2.50	40.0%	37.0%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	2.50	40.0%	37.0%	-3.0%
	Unibet	2.38	42.0%	37.0%	-5.0%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +0.7%	1.44	69.4%	63.0%	-6.4%
	Marathonbet	1.43	69.9%	63.0%	-6.9%
	Unibet	1.42	70.4%	63.0%	-7.4%
Draw or Away Double Chance	BetfairBest price +5.3%	1.73	57.8%	0.0%	-57.8%
	10Bet	1.67	59.9%	0.0%	-59.9%
	William Hill	1.65	60.6%	0.0%	-60.6%
	Unibet	1.63	61.3%	0.0%	-61.3%
	Marathonbet	1.61	62.1%	0.0%	-62.1%
	Bet365	1.57	63.7%	0.0%	-63.7%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Bet365Best price +5.0%	1.40	71.4%	0.0%	-71.4%
	Betfair	1.40	71.4%	0.0%	-71.4%
	William Hill	1.35	74.1%	0.0%	-74.1%
	10Bet	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Marathonbet	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Unibet	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +3.4%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Bet365	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Marathonbet	1.21	82.6%	0.0%	-82.6%
	Betfair	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Unibet	1.19	84.0%	0.0%	-84.0%
	10Bet	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%

Model reasoning

Odra Bytom Odrzański’s away record is strong in the limited sample, with 3 wins from 3 and 0 goals conceded, including 3 clean sheets. Miedź Legnica II at home has a more mixed profile, with 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, and a fairly even goal record (60 scored, 58 conceded), which suggests they can score but also concede. The matchup leans toward both teams finding goals, supported by the overall scoring tendency in the provided probabilities: both teams to score is 63.0% and over 2.5 goals is 60.6%. Even with Odra’s clean-sheet run, Miedź’s season goal concession rate and recent form (LWWWW) indicate they are capable of creating chances. The main uncertainty is the contrast in sample sizes and defensive evidence. Odra’s away data is only 3 matches, so their 0 conceded may not fully represent what happens over a longer stretch, while Miedź’s 33-match season record shows more variability. With BTTS Yes priced as the call and confidence at 35 (high risk), the expectation is a competitive game where Miedź can score, and Odra’s attack can also contribute, but the outcome is not strongly locked in.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 19 Aug 2026 12:35 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Miedź Legnica II predictions · Odra Bytom Odrzański predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.