Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 35/100
BTTS Yes
Jagiellonia II (LWLWD) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.4 for Pelikan Łowicz (WWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
35/100
Strongest cover
12
74.6% probability
Risk classification
High
25.4% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Jagiellonia II
7/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.35
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Pelikan Łowicz
9/9 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.00
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 6/9.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 19, 06:00 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Jagiellonia II
2025-06-07T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II 4-0 Pelikan Łowicz
2024-11-16T12:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II 2-1 Pelikan Łowicz
2024-06-08T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Pelikan Łowicz 1-0 Jagiellonia II
2023-11-19T12:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Jagiellonia II 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz
2023-05-06T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Pelikan Łowicz 0-0 Jagiellonia II
2022-10-02T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Jagiellonia II
2022-06-05T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz
2021-11-07T13:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Jagiellonia II 2-1 Pelikan Łowicz
2020-12-02T13:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +6.9% | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25.4% | -1.6% |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 28.4% | 25.4% | -3.0% | |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.4% | -3.2% | |
| Unibet | 3.45 | 29.0% | 25.4% | -3.6% | |
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 29.9% | 25.4% | -4.5% | |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 30.8% | 25.4% | -5.4% | |
Away 1X2 | 10BetBest price +2.8% | 3.35 | 29.9% | 27.8% | -2.1% |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 29.9% | 27.8% | -2.1% | |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27.8% | -2.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27.8% | -2.5% | |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 30.8% | 27.8% | -3.0% | |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 27.8% | -5.5% | |
Home 1X2 | Bet365Best price +3.5% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.2% | |
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 52.4% | 46.8% | -5.6% | |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 52.4% | 46.8% | -5.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 46.8% | -5.8% | |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 53.5% | 46.8% | -6.7% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.9% | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.1% | -2.4% |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 48.1% | 44.1% | -4.0% | |
| BetVictor | 2.07 | 48.3% | 44.1% | -4.2% | |
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 48.8% | 44.1% | -4.7% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.5% | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.9% | -4.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.9% | -4.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.9% | -4.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 55.9% | -6.6% | |
| Unibet | 1.58 | 63.3% | 55.9% | -7.4% | |
No BTTS | BetVictorBest price +2.2% | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.4% | -3.0% |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 45.5% | 41.4% | -4.1% | |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 45.5% | 41.4% | -4.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 46.3% | 41.4% | -4.9% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.5% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.6% | -5.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.6% | -5.1% | |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 64.5% | 58.6% | -5.9% | |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 66.7% | 58.6% | -8.1% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +4.5% | 1.80 | 55.6% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 0.0% | -58.5% | |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% | |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 59.9% | 0.0% | -59.9% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +3.2% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.0% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 19 Aug 2026 13:08 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
Team hubs: Jagiellonia II predictions · Pelikan Łowicz predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.