Pre-match

High risk

CS Afumati vs FC Voluntari

Wed, Aug 19, 02:30 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 37/100

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

CS Afumati (WL) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.3 for FC Voluntari (WL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 37/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

37/100

Confidence

37/100

Strongest cover

74.7% probability

Risk classification

High

25.3% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

56 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

CA win25.4%

Draw25.3%

FV win49.3%

Goals

Over 1.581.5%

Over 2.551.8%

Under 2.548.2%

Both teams to score

Yes54.2%

No45.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

CS Afumati

3/6 recent form points

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.50
Shots on target: Unavailable

FC Voluntari

3/6 recent form points

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.50
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 19, 06:00 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

CS Afumati 0-1 FC Voluntari

2025-08-16T10:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

CS Afumati 0-1 FC Voluntari

2024-10-05T10:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Home 1X2	UnibetBest price +16.8%	4.20	23.8%	25.4%	+1.6%
	Betfair	3.60	27.8%	25.4%	-2.4%
	1xBet	3.52	28.4%	25.4%	-3.0%
	10Bet	3.50	28.6%	25.4%	-3.2%
	Marathonbet	3.45	29.0%	25.4%	-3.6%
	Bet365	3.30	30.3%	25.4%	-4.9%
Draw 1X2	UnibetBest price +3.0%	3.60	27.8%	25.3%	-2.5%
	Bet365	3.50	28.6%	25.3%	-3.3%
	Betfair	3.50	28.6%	25.3%	-3.3%
	Marathonbet	3.46	28.9%	25.3%	-3.6%
	1xBet	3.46	28.9%	25.3%	-3.6%
	10Bet	3.45	29.0%	25.3%	-3.7%
Away 1X2	Bet365Best price +2.5%	1.91	52.4%	49.3%	-3.1%
	1xBet	1.90	52.6%	49.3%	-3.3%
	Marathonbet	1.88	53.2%	49.3%	-3.9%
	10Bet	1.85	54.1%	49.3%	-4.8%
	Betfair	1.85	54.1%	49.3%	-4.8%
	Unibet	1.79	55.9%	49.3%	-6.6%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +5.3%	2.00	50.0%	48.2%	-1.8%
	Betfair	1.91	52.4%	48.2%	-4.2%
	Marathonbet	1.90	52.6%	48.2%	-4.4%
	1xBet	1.90	52.6%	48.2%	-4.4%
	10Bet	1.85	54.1%	48.2%	-5.9%
	Unibet	1.84	54.3%	48.2%	-6.1%
Over 2.5 Totals	UnibetBest price +1.9%	1.83	54.6%	51.8%	-2.8%
	Bet365	1.80	55.6%	51.8%	-3.8%
	Marathonbet	1.80	55.6%	51.8%	-3.8%
	Betfair	1.80	55.6%	51.8%	-3.8%
	1xBet	1.80	55.6%	51.8%	-3.8%
	10Bet	1.75	57.1%	51.8%	-5.3%
No BTTS	1xBetBest price +2.4%	2.04	49.0%	45.8%	-3.2%
	Marathonbet	2.01	49.8%	45.8%	-4.0%
	Betfair	2.00	50.0%	45.8%	-4.2%
	Unibet	1.92	52.1%	45.8%	-6.3%
Yes BTTS	UnibetBest price +2.3%	1.75	57.1%	54.2%	-2.9%
	Betfair	1.73	57.8%	54.2%	-3.6%
	Marathonbet	1.68	59.5%	54.2%	-5.3%
	1xBet	1.68	59.5%	54.2%	-5.3%
Home or Draw Double Chance	UnibetBest price +5.2%	1.89	52.9%	0.0%	-52.9%
	10Bet	1.85	54.1%	0.0%	-54.1%
	Betfair	1.83	54.6%	0.0%	-54.6%
	Marathonbet	1.74	57.5%	0.0%	-57.5%
	1xBet	1.74	57.5%	0.0%	-57.5%
	Bet365	1.73	57.8%	0.0%	-57.8%
Home or Away Double Chance	BetfairBest price +2.0%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Unibet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	Bet365	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Marathonbet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	1xBet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	10Bet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +1.8%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	1xBet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Unibet	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%

Model reasoning

FC Voluntari has the edge in this matchup, with a higher away win probability (49.3%) than CS Afumati’s home win chance (25.4%), while the draw sits close at 25.3%. The overall balance suggests Voluntari is more likely to come out on top, but the margin isn’t large. In terms of scoring, both teams have produced 3 goals across their two matches, yet Voluntari has conceded 9, which keeps the game from looking one-sided. That defensive vulnerability is offset by the fact that Voluntari still has a win in its recent results (WL), and Afumati’s home record is only 1W 0D 1L. The goal-related outlook leans toward a more open game. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 51.8%, and both teams to score is slightly more likely at 54.2%, consistent with Voluntari conceding heavily and Afumati having scored in its limited sample. With confidence at 37 and risk marked high, the away win call looks plausible but not secure. A draw or a low-scoring upset remains within reach given the small sample sizes and the close win probabilities.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 19 Aug 2026 10:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: CS Afumati predictions · FC Voluntari predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.