Bayern München U19 vs Stuttgart U19
AI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence 40/100
Over 2.5 Goals
Bayern München U19 (LWDDL) project at 2.3 expected goals versus 1.7 for Stuttgart U19 (LLLDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 40/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
40/100
Strongest cover
12
78.5% probability
Risk classification
High
21.5% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
42 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Bayern München U19
5/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.65
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Stuttgart U19
1/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.78
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 9/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 19, 09:01 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart U19 7-2 Bayern München U19
2024-05-11T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bayern München U19 0-3 Stuttgart U19
2024-01-27T11:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Bayern München U19 1-3 Stuttgart U19
2022-10-29T11:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bayern München U19 1-3 Stuttgart U19
2022-03-13T11:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bayern München U19 1-4 Stuttgart U19
2021-10-02T11:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Stuttgart U19 2-2 Bayern München U19
2020-10-16T18:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bayern München U19 3-1 Stuttgart U19
2020-03-08T11:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Stuttgart U19 1-4 Bayern München U19
2019-09-27T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bayern München U19 4-4 Stuttgart U19
2019-03-09T11:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Stuttgart U19 0-2 Bayern München U19
2018-09-29T12:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +3.3% | 4.17 | 24.0% | 21.5% | -2.5% |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 24.4% | 21.5% | -2.9% | |
| 10Bet | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.5% | -3.5% | |
| Superbet | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.5% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.98 | 25.1% | 21.5% | -3.6% | |
| 1xBet | 3.98 | 25.1% | 21.5% | -3.6% | |
Home 1X2 | SuperbetBest price +2.0% | 2.42 | 41.3% | 39.2% | -2.1% |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 41.3% | 39.2% | -2.1% | |
| 10Bet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 39.2% | -2.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.34 | 42.7% | 39.2% | -3.5% | |
| 1xBet | 2.34 | 42.7% | 39.2% | -3.5% | |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 42.9% | 39.2% | -3.7% | |
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +1.2% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.3% | -4.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.3% | -4.2% | |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 43.7% | 39.3% | -4.4% | |
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 44.4% | 39.3% | -5.1% | |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 44.4% | 39.3% | -5.1% | |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 44.4% | 39.3% | -5.1% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +1.2% | 3.68 | 27.2% | 24.8% | -2.4% |
| 1xBet | 3.68 | 27.2% | 24.8% | -2.4% | |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 28.2% | 24.8% | -3.4% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | SuperbetBest price +0.6% | 1.21 | 82.6% | 75.2% | -7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 75.2% | -8.1% | |
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 75.2% | -8.1% | |
No BTTS | 1xBetBest price +2.5% | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25.4% | -1.6% |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 27.9% | 25.4% | -2.5% | |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 28.2% | 25.4% | -2.8% | |
Yes BTTS | SuperbetBest price +1.6% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 74.6% | -5.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 74.6% | -7.4% | |
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 74.6% | -7.4% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | SuperbetBest price +1.0% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| 10Bet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% | -67.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% | -67.6% | |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% | -67.6% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.0% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| Superbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | SuperbetBest price +0.9% | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 86.2% | 0.0% | -86.2% | |
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 86.2% | 0.0% | -86.2% | |
| 10Bet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 19 Aug 2026 11:02 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
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Team hubs: Bayern München U19 predictions · Stuttgart U19 predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.