Liga I
Finished
Medium risk

Universitatea Cluj vs Uta Arad result & prediction review

21Full time
Mon, Aug 17, 03:30 PMCluj Arena

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 61/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

Universitatea Cluj (WWLLL) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.3 for Uta Arad (DLDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 61/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

61/100

Confidence
61/100

Strongest cover

12

75.0% probability

Risk classification

Medium

25.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

UC win47.9%
Draw25%
UA win27.1%

Goals

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%

Both teams to score

Yes57.4%
No42.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Universitatea Cluj

6/15 recent form points

WWLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.29
Shots on target
Unavailable

Uta Arad

8/15 recent form points

DLDWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.38
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/10 and Over 2.5 in 2/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Uta Arad

2026-08-17T17:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Uta Arad 0-2 Universitatea Cluj

2025-11-22T14:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Universitatea Cluj 1-1 Uta Arad

2025-07-19T17:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Universitatea Cluj 0-1 Uta Arad

2024-12-02T16:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Uta Arad 0-0 Universitatea Cluj

2024-07-29T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Universitatea Cluj 0-0 Uta Arad

2024-03-30T17:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Universitatea Cluj 1-3 Uta Arad

2024-02-04T12:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Uta Arad 0-1 Universitatea Cluj

2023-09-15T17:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Universitatea Cluj 1-0 Uta Arad

2023-04-27T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Uta Arad 2-0 Universitatea Cluj

2023-04-01T11:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Universitatea Cluj vs Uta Arad. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

2-1

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 52.2% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.1387 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:12 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Universitatea Cluj predictions · Uta Arad predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.