Pre-match

Medium risk

RTC vs Thimphu City

Thu, Sep 10, 09:00 AM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 68/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Away Win

RTC (DDWLL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.5 for Thimphu City (WWWDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

68/100

Confidence

68/100

Strongest cover

74.7% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.3% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

R win25.3%

Draw26.3%

TC win48.4%

Goals

Over 1.574.3%

Over 2.548.6%

Under 2.551.4%

Both teams to score

Yes53%

No47%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

RTC

5/15 recent form points

DDWLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Thimphu City

11/15 recent form points

WWWDD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.69
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/7 and Over 2.5 in 3/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Thimphu City 0-1 RTC

2026-05-26T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

RTC 4-2 Thimphu City

2025-08-09T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Thimphu City 1-0 RTC

2025-05-12T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

RTC 1-0 Thimphu City

2024-08-15T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Thimphu City 1-1 RTC

2024-06-10T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

RTC 1-2 Thimphu City

2023-10-21T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Thimphu City 4-0 RTC

2023-07-20T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for RTC vs Thimphu City. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 09 Sep 2026 22:00 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: RTC predictions · Thimphu City predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.