Pre-match

Medium risk

Andijan vs Kokand-1912 prediction

Thu, Sep 10, 02:00 PMBobur Arena

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 74/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Andijan (LLWWL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 0.9 for Kokand-1912 (DWWDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

74/100

Confidence

74/100

Strongest cover

76.3% probability

Risk classification

Medium

29.2% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

51 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

A win47.1%

Draw29.2%

K win23.7%

Goals

Over 1.566.9%

Over 2.541.8%

Under 2.558.2%

Both teams to score

Yes47.3%

No52.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Andijan

6/15 recent form points

LLWWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.20
Shots on target: Unavailable

Kokand-1912

9/15 recent form points

DWWDD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.90
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Kokand-1912 0-0 Andijan

2026-04-19T15:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Andijan 3-0 Kokand-1912

2025-08-03T16:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Kokand-1912 1-1 Andijan

2025-03-08T15:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Kokand-1912 1-1 Andijan

2021-09-25T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Andijan 1-2 Kokand-1912

2021-05-05T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Andijan 0-1 Kokand-1912

2020-11-29T10:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kokand-1912 2-1 Andijan

2020-08-24T15:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Andijan 1-1 Kokand-1912

2019-11-27T12:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Kokand-1912 0-0 Andijan

2019-03-31T15:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Andijan 0-2 Kokand-1912

2016-08-13T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Away 1X2	PinnacleBest price +4.8%	3.87	25.8%	23.7%	-2.1%
	Marathonbet	3.78	26.5%	23.7%	-2.8%
	BetVictor	3.70	27.0%	23.7%	-3.3%
	William Hill	3.60	27.8%	23.7%	-4.1%
	Bet365	3.60	27.8%	23.7%	-4.1%
	Betfair	3.60	27.8%	23.7%	-4.1%
Draw 1X2	BetVictorBest price +2.7%	3.13	31.9%	29.2%	-2.7%
	Bet365	3.10	32.3%	29.2%	-3.1%
	Betfair	3.10	32.3%	29.2%	-3.1%
	Pinnacle	3.06	32.7%	29.2%	-3.5%
	Marathonbet	3.00	33.3%	29.2%	-4.1%
	William Hill	2.90	34.5%	29.2%	-5.3%
Home 1X2	PinnacleBest price +3.0%	2.03	49.3%	47.1%	-2.2%
	William Hill	2.00	50.0%	47.1%	-2.9%
	BetVictor	2.00	50.0%	47.1%	-2.9%
	Betfair	1.95	51.3%	47.1%	-4.2%
	Marathonbet	1.94	51.5%	47.1%	-4.4%
	Bet365	1.91	52.4%	47.1%	-5.3%
Over 2.5 Totals	PinnacleBest price +3.5%	2.30	43.5%	41.8%	-1.7%
	Betfair	2.25	44.4%	41.8%	-2.6%
	BetVictor	2.25	44.4%	41.8%	-2.6%
	Marathonbet	2.21	45.2%	41.8%	-3.4%
	Bet365	2.10	47.6%	41.8%	-5.8%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +6.0%	1.70	58.8%	58.2%	-0.6%
	Pinnacle	1.60	62.5%	58.2%	-4.3%
	Marathonbet	1.58	63.3%	58.2%	-5.1%
	Betfair	1.57	63.7%	58.2%	-5.5%
	BetVictor	1.57	63.7%	58.2%	-5.5%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +0.4%	1.95	51.3%	47.3%	-4.0%
	Betfair	1.95	51.3%	47.3%	-4.0%
	BetVictor	1.95	51.3%	47.3%	-4.0%
	Marathonbet	1.92	52.1%	47.3%	-4.8%
No BTTS	BetfairBest price +2.7%	1.80	55.6%	52.7%	-2.9%
	BetVictor	1.75	57.1%	52.7%	-4.4%
	William Hill	1.73	57.8%	52.7%	-5.1%
	Marathonbet	1.73	57.8%	52.7%	-5.1%
Draw or Away Double Chance	BetfairBest price +2.6%	1.73	57.8%	0.0%	-57.8%
	William Hill	1.70	58.8%	0.0%	-58.8%
	BetVictor	1.70	58.8%	0.0%	-58.8%
	Marathonbet	1.68	59.5%	0.0%	-59.5%
	Bet365	1.62	61.7%	0.0%	-61.7%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +3.7%	1.35	74.1%	0.0%	-74.1%
	Betfair	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	BetVictor	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Bet365	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	Marathonbet	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Bet365Best price +2.1%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	BetVictor	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	William Hill	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Betfair	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Marathonbet	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Andijan vs Kokand-1912. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 10 Sep 2026 01:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.