Pre-match

Medium risk

Korea DPR U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W prediction

Thu, Sep 10, 01:00 PM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 63/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Home Win

Korea DPR U20 W (W) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 0.9 for Costa Rica U20 W (L). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 63/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

63/100

Confidence

63/100

Strongest cover

98.1% probability

Risk classification

Medium

4.9% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

29 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

KDU win93.2%

Draw4.9%

CRU win1.9%

Goals

Over 1.582.9%

Over 2.582.9%

Under 2.517.1%

Both teams to score

Yes18.8%

No81.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Korea DPR U20 W

3/3 recent form points

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Costa Rica U20 W

0/3 recent form points

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Korea DPR U20 W 9-0 Costa Rica U20 W

2024-09-06T00:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Away 1X2	William HillBest price +142.8%	151.00	0.7%	1.9%	+1.2%
	Betfair	56.00	1.8%	1.9%	+0.1%
	1xBet	44.00	2.3%	1.9%	-0.4%
	Bet365	41.00	2.4%	1.9%	-0.5%
	Unibet	19.00	5.3%	1.9%	-3.4%
Draw 1X2	William HillBest price +96.8%	61.00	1.6%	4.9%	+3.3%
	1xBet	60.00	1.7%	4.9%	+3.2%
	Betfair	13.00	7.7%	4.9%	-2.8%
	Unibet	12.50	8.0%	4.9%	-3.1%
	Bet365	8.50	11.8%	4.9%	-6.9%
Home 1X2	1xBetBest price +4.2%	1.08	92.6%	93.2%	+0.6%
	Bet365	1.04	96.2%	93.2%	-3.0%
	Betfair	1.03	97.1%	93.2%	-3.9%
	William Hill	1.02	98.0%	93.2%	-4.8%
	Unibet	1.01	99.0%	93.2%	-5.8%
Under 2.5 Totals	1xBetBest price +12.3%	6.70	14.9%	17.1%	+2.2%
	Marathonbet	6.70	14.9%	17.1%	+2.2%
	Bet365	4.50	22.2%	17.1%	-5.1%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +7.3%	1.17	85.5%	82.9%	-2.6%
	1xBet	1.05	95.2%	82.9%	-12.3%
	Marathonbet	1.05	95.2%	82.9%	-12.3%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +10.0%	5.80	17.2%	18.8%	+1.6%
	Marathonbet	4.75	21.1%	18.8%	-2.3%
No BTTS	MarathonbetBest price +1.3%	1.14	87.7%	81.2%	-6.5%
	William Hill	1.11	90.1%	81.2%	-8.9%
Draw or Away Double Chance	1xBetBest price +9.7%	8.50	11.8%	0.0%	-11.8%
	Unibet	7.00	14.3%	0.0%	-14.3%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Unibet	1.01	99.0%	0.0%	-99.0%
Home or Away Double Chance	Unibet	1.01	99.0%	0.0%	-99.0%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Korea DPR U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:41 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Korea DPR U20 W predictions · Costa Rica U20 W predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.