Slovan Bratislava vs Mjallby AIF

0023′
Tue, Aug 11, 06:15 PMTehelne Pole Stadion

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 42/100

Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Slovan Bratislava (WDLD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1 for Mjallby AIF (WDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 42/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

42/100

Confidence
42/100

Strongest cover

1X

74.1% probability

Risk classification

High

27.8% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SB win46.3%
Draw27.8%
MA win25.9%

Goals

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%

Both teams to score

Yes49%
No51%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Slovan Bratislava

5/12 recent form points

WDLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

Mjallby AIF

4/9 recent form points

WDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.33
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Mjallby AIF 1-2 Slovan Bratislava

2026-08-04T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Slovan Bratislava at home have a modest record of 1W 2D 1L, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded across 4 matches. They’ve kept 1 clean sheet, and their recent sequence is WDLD, suggesting some inconsistency rather than steady dominance. Mjallby AIF’s away profile looks stronger defensively, with 2 clean sheets in 3 matches and only 2 goals conceded. Their scoring output is lower (4 goals in 3 matches), but their recent form WDL indicates they can compete and avoid heavy defeats. The market-style probabilities lean slightly toward a Slovan home edge, with home win at 46.3% versus draw 27.8% and away win 25.9%. However, the confidence is limited (42) and the risk is high, reflecting that the match could easily swing toward a draw or a tight away result. For goals, both teams to score is favored at 49.0%, and over 2.5 goals is at 43.3%, so a low-to-mid scoring game is plausible. Overall, Slovan’s home advantage and slightly better goal difference support a home win lean, but the defensive strength from Mjallby keeps the outcome uncertain.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Mon, 10 Aug 2026 04:05 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.