SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 58/100
Home Win
SC Freiburg (WLDLW) project at 2.3 expected goals versus 1.2 for Borussia Mönchengladbach (DDWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
58/100
Strongest cover
1X
83.3% probability
Risk classification
High
19.3% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
SC Freiburg
7/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 1.78
- xGA / match
- 0.84
- Goals / match
- 1.50
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Borussia Mönchengladbach
8/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 2.06
- xGA / match
- 3.40
- Goals / match
- 1.24
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
SF derived xG
2.59
BM derived xG
1.45
Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 4.04. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
2026-02-22T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg
2025-10-05T19:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SC Freiburg
2025-04-12T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024-11-30T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Borussia Monchengladbach 0-3 SC Freiburg
2024-03-30T15:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg 3-3 Borussia Monchengladbach
2023-11-04T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg
2023-03-04T15:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
SC Freiburg 0-0 Borussia Monchengladbach
2022-09-11T17:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
SC Freiburg 3-3 Borussia Monchengladbach
2022-04-23T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Borussia Monchengladbach 0-6 SC Freiburg
2021-12-05T17:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.
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Team hubs: SC Freiburg predictions · Borussia Mönchengladbach predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.