Pre-match

High risk

Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction

Sun, Sep 13, 06:45 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 53/100

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

Sassuolo (DWLLL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.5 for Juventus (DDWLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 53/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

53/100

Confidence

53/100

Strongest cover

76.5% probability

Risk classification

High

27.2% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

S win23.5%

Draw27.2%

J win49.3%

Goals

Over 1.571.6%

Over 2.545.2%

Under 2.554.8%

Both teams to score

Yes48.8%

No51.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Sassuolo

4/15 recent form points

DWLLL

xG / match: 2.03
xGA / match: 1.81
Goals / match: 1.21
Shots on target: Unavailable

Juventus

6/15 recent form points

DDWLD

xG / match: 2.04
xGA / match: 0.22
Goals / match: 1.61
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

S derived xG

1.12

J derived xG

1.93

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 3.05. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo

2026-03-21T20:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Sassuolo 0-3 Juventus

2026-01-06T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo

2024-01-16T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Sassuolo 4-2 Juventus

2023-09-23T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Sassuolo 1-0 Juventus

2023-04-16T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo

2022-08-15T20:45:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus

2022-04-25T20:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Juventus 2-1 Sassuolo

2022-02-10T21:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Juventus 1-2 Sassuolo

2021-10-27T18:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Sassuolo 1-3 Juventus

2021-05-12T20:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Sassuolo vs Juventus. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

More predictions

All Serie A predictions →

Team hubs: Sassuolo predictions · Juventus predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.