Süper Lig
Finished
High risk

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe result & prediction review

02Full time
Sun, Aug 30, 06:30 PMSamsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 51/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Samsunspor (WWWLW) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.5 for Fenerbahçe (DLWWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 51/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

51/100

Confidence
51/100

Strongest cover

12

73.3% probability

Risk classification

High

26.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

S win33.8%
Draw26.7%
F win39.5%

Goals

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%

Both teams to score

Yes57.5%
No42.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Samsunspor

12/15 recent form points

WWWLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.35
Shots on target
Unavailable

Fenerbahçe

8/15 recent form points

DLWWD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.26
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe

2026-08-30T20:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Fenerbahçe 3-2 Samsunspor

2026-03-08T18:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Fenerbahçe 2-0 Samsunspor

2026-01-06T18:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Samsunspor 0-0 Fenerbahçe

2025-10-05T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Fenerbahçe 0-0 Samsunspor

2025-03-16T18:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe

2024-10-20T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Fenerbahçe 1-1 Samsunspor

2024-01-21T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe

2023-08-21T20:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Fenerbahçe 3-0 Samsunspor

2012-03-21T20:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Samsunspor 3-1 Fenerbahçe

2012-02-02T17:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-2

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 57.7% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.243 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 29 Aug 2026 09:31 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Samsunspor predictions · Fenerbahçe predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.