Live

High risk

North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II prediction

1–145′

Thu, Sep 10, 12:45 AMChoctaw Stadium

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 64/100

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

North Texas (LWWWW) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.5 for Houston Dynamo FC II (LLWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 64/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

64/100

Confidence

64/100

Strongest cover

75.5% probability

Risk classification

High

24.5% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

46 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

NT win37.5%

Draw24.5%

HDF win38%

Goals

Over 1.582.5%

Over 2.562.3%

Under 2.537.7%

Both teams to score

Yes63.7%

No36.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

North Texas

12/15 recent form points

LWWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.76
Shots on target: Unavailable

Houston Dynamo FC II

3/15 recent form points

LLWLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.08
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 8/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Sep 10, 12:13 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo FC II 2-0 North Texas

2026-03-21T23:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Houston Dynamo FC II 3-0 North Texas

2025-07-14T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

North Texas 2-1 Houston Dynamo FC II

2025-05-19T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo FC II 5-1 North Texas

2025-03-24T00:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

North Texas 4-1 Houston Dynamo FC II

2024-08-18T02:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo FC II 4-0 North Texas

2024-07-22T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

North Texas 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC II

2024-04-29T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo FC II 1-3 North Texas

2023-09-18T00:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo FC II 2-1 North Texas

2023-07-17T01:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +4.5%	3.70	27.0%	24.5%	-2.5%
	10Bet	3.60	27.8%	24.5%	-3.3%
	Marathonbet	3.60	27.8%	24.5%	-3.3%
	Betfair	3.60	27.8%	24.5%	-3.3%
	Unibet	3.45	29.0%	24.5%	-4.5%
	William Hill	3.30	30.3%	24.5%	-5.8%
Home 1X2	William HillBest price +3.5%	2.50	40.0%	37.5%	-2.5%
	Unibet	2.50	40.0%	37.5%	-2.5%
	Marathonbet	2.46	40.7%	37.5%	-3.2%
	Betfair	2.40	41.7%	37.5%	-4.2%
	Bet365	2.38	42.0%	37.5%	-4.5%
	10Bet	2.25	44.4%	37.5%	-6.9%
Away 1X2	10BetBest price +6.5%	2.50	40.0%	38.0%	-2.0%
	Bet365	2.35	42.6%	38.0%	-4.6%
	Marathonbet	2.33	42.9%	38.0%	-4.9%
	William Hill	2.30	43.5%	38.0%	-5.5%
	Unibet	2.30	43.5%	38.0%	-5.5%
	Betfair	2.30	43.5%	38.0%	-5.5%
Under 2.5 Totals	UnibetBest price +4.7%	2.55	39.2%	37.7%	-1.5%
	Bet365	2.38	42.0%	37.7%	-4.3%
	Marathonbet	2.38	42.0%	37.7%	-4.3%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +4.3%	1.53	65.4%	62.3%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	1.46	68.5%	62.3%	-6.2%
	Unibet	1.41	70.9%	62.3%	-8.6%
No BTTS	MarathonbetBest price +2.2%	2.56	39.1%	36.3%	-2.8%
	William Hill	2.45	40.8%	36.3%	-4.5%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +1.1%	1.44	69.4%	63.7%	-5.7%
	Marathonbet	1.41	70.9%	63.7%	-7.2%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +6.6%	1.57	63.7%	0.0%	-63.7%
	Bet365	1.53	65.4%	0.0%	-65.4%
	Betfair	1.50	66.7%	0.0%	-66.7%
	William Hill	1.44	69.4%	0.0%	-69.4%
	Marathonbet	1.42	70.4%	0.0%	-70.4%
	Unibet	1.38	72.5%	0.0%	-72.5%
Home or Draw Double Chance	BetfairBest price +4.2%	1.53	65.4%	0.0%	-65.4%
	William Hill	1.50	66.7%	0.0%	-66.7%
	Marathonbet	1.47	68.0%	0.0%	-68.0%
	Unibet	1.45	69.0%	0.0%	-69.0%
	Bet365	1.44	69.4%	0.0%	-69.4%
	10Bet	1.42	70.4%	0.0%	-70.4%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +5.6%	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	Bet365	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Betfair	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	10Bet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Marathonbet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Unibet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:00 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: North Texas predictions · Houston Dynamo FC II predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.