Finished

High risk

Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen

0–4Full time

Sun, Aug 16, 04:00 PMCepheus Park

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 51/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

Randers FC (DLWDL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.6 for FC Copenhagen (WDWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 51/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

51/100

Confidence

51/100

Strongest cover

74.6% probability

Risk classification

High

25.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

RF win28.6%

Draw25.4%

FC win46%

Goals

Over 1.578.9%

Over 2.555%

Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

Yes58.5%

No41.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Randers FC

5/15 recent form points

DLWDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.03
Shots on target: Unavailable

FC Copenhagen

13/15 recent form points

WDWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.12
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Randers FC 0-4 FC Copenhagen

2026-08-16T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Copenhagen 5-0 Randers FC

2026-05-17T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Randers FC 1-2 FC Copenhagen

2026-04-12T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Copenhagen 1-2 Randers FC

2026-03-01T17:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Randers FC 1-5 FC Copenhagen

2025-08-31T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Randers FC 0-4 FC Copenhagen

2025-05-18T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Copenhagen 1-0 Randers FC

2025-03-31T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Randers FC 1-2 FC Copenhagen

2025-02-17T19:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Copenhagen 1-1 Randers FC

2024-08-04T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Copenhagen 2-1 Randers FC

2024-05-31T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

FC Copenhagen look slightly more likely to win away, with their record reading 16W 6D 11L versus Randers’ 9W 8D 15L at home. Copenhagen also have a stronger goal profile this season, scoring 70 and conceding 45, while Randers have scored 33 and conceded 47. That gap in scoring output supports the away-win lean. Recent form is mixed but Copenhagen’s run is stronger overall, with WDWWW compared to Randers’ DLWDL. Even though Randers have had some draws and losses recently, Copenhagen’s sequence suggests better momentum heading into the match. The match also projects as fairly open. Over 2.5 goals is at 55.0%, and both teams to score is even higher at 58.5%, aligning with Randers conceding 47 goals and Copenhagen scoring 70. With those probabilities, a Copenhagen win is plausible, but the moderate confidence (51) and the relatively high draw/low-margin risk keep it from looking fully secure.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-4

Pre-kickoff call

Away Win · 45.8%

Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.

More predictions

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Team hubs: Randers FC predictions · FC Copenhagen predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.