Radomlje vs Aluminij

Radomlje at home has struggled overall, with 1 win and 3 losses in 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their recent run is mixed but slightly positive, with results reading LDLWL, suggesting they can compete in some games even if consistency is limited. Aluminij away has been difficult to read from the season totals, with 10 wins but also 18 losses across 34 matches. They’ve scored 42 and conceded 61 overall, and their recent form is weak at LLLDL, which points to difficulty generating results lately. The home win is the most likely single outcome in the probabilities (45.3% versus 29.5% for Aluminij), but the confidence is low and the draw is still substantial (25.2%), so the edge for Radomlje looks modest rather than decisive. Goals also lean upward, with over 2.5 goals at 57.5% and both teams to score at 59.8%, which fits a scenario where neither side fully controls the match. Given Radomlje’s lack of clean sheets (0) and Aluminij’s recent poor form, a home win is plausible, but the high risk reflects the thin margin between home win and the other outcomes.