Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow

Pogon Szczecin at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Wisla Krakow’s away sample, with 13 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses across 34 matches, and a near-even goal difference (47 scored, 49 conceded). Their recent form is mixed (DWLWD), which tempers the case for a clear home edge. Wisla Krakow’s away record is based on only 5 matches, with 2 wins and 1 draw, and they’ve scored and conceded 10 goals each. They also have limited clean-sheet output (0), and their recent form is inconsistent (WLWLD), so their ability to control games away looks less reliable. The goal-related indicators lean toward an open match: both teams to score is favored (59.5%), and over 2.5 goals is also more likely (57.6%). That profile supports a home win scenario that still allows for Wisla to contribute, which aligns with the close win probabilities (home 52.2%, draw 23.8%, away 24.0%). With home win only marginally ahead and Wisla’s scoring/conceding balance suggesting they can get chances, the confidence is modest (49) and the risk is high rather than low.