Second League
Pre-match
High risk

Kahraba Ismailia vs Proxy

Thu, Aug 27, 01:30 PM

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 35/100

Model verdict
High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Kahraba Ismailia (D) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1.2 for Proxy (WWDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

1X

72.9% probability

Risk classification

High

31.1% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

51 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

KI win41.8%
Draw31.1%
P win27.1%

Goals

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

Yes45.1%
No54.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Kahraba Ismailia

1/3 recent form points

D
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Proxy

13/15 recent form points

WWDWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.21
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 1/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
Aug 27, 12:40 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Kahraba Ismailia 1-0 Proxy

2025-04-10T15:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Proxy 3-2 Kahraba Ismailia

2024-12-01T13:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Away
1X2
PinnacleBest price +5.4%3.5228.4%27.1%-1.3%
Marathonbet3.4229.2%27.1%-2.1%
William Hill3.3030.3%27.1%-3.2%
Betfair3.3030.3%27.1%-3.2%
Bet3653.2530.8%27.1%-3.7%
Unibet3.2530.8%27.1%-3.7%
Draw
1X2
Bet365Best price +4.5%3.0033.3%31.1%-2.2%
Betfair3.0033.3%31.1%-2.2%
Pinnacle2.8435.2%31.1%-4.1%
Marathonbet2.8335.3%31.1%-4.2%
William Hill2.8035.7%31.1%-4.6%
Unibet2.7536.4%31.1%-5.3%
Home
1X2
UnibetBest price +3.2%2.2344.8%41.8%-3.0%
Pinnacle2.2045.5%41.8%-3.7%
William Hill2.1546.5%41.8%-4.7%
Betfair2.1546.5%41.8%-4.7%
Marathonbet2.1446.7%41.8%-4.9%
Bet3652.1047.6%41.8%-5.8%
Over 2.5
Totals
UnibetBest price +2.4%2.5040.0%38.0%-2.0%
Pinnacle2.4940.2%38.0%-2.2%
Marathonbet2.4441.0%38.0%-3.0%
Betfair2.4041.7%38.0%-3.7%
Bet3652.3842.0%38.0%-4.0%
Under 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +3.4%1.5365.4%62.0%-3.4%
Betfair1.5066.7%62.0%-4.7%
Pinnacle1.4967.1%62.0%-5.1%
Marathonbet1.4867.6%62.0%-5.6%
Unibet1.4071.4%62.0%-9.4%
Yes
BTTS
William HillBest price +2.6%2.1047.6%45.1%-2.5%
Unibet2.0648.5%45.1%-3.4%
Marathonbet2.0349.3%45.1%-4.2%
Betfair2.0050.0%45.1%-4.9%
No
BTTS
BetfairBest price +4.9%1.7557.1%54.9%-2.2%
William Hill1.6759.9%54.9%-5.0%
Marathonbet1.6560.6%54.9%-5.7%
Unibet1.6062.5%54.9%-7.6%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
William HillBest price +3.4%1.6261.7%0.0%-61.7%
Bet3651.6062.5%0.0%-62.5%
Betfair1.5763.7%0.0%-63.7%
Marathonbet1.5664.1%0.0%-64.1%
Unibet1.4867.6%0.0%-67.6%
Home or Away
Double Chance
William HillBest price +2.6%1.3673.5%0.0%-73.5%
Betfair1.3375.2%0.0%-75.2%
Marathonbet1.3275.8%0.0%-75.8%
Unibet1.3275.8%0.0%-75.8%
Bet3651.3076.9%0.0%-76.9%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
William HillBest price +3.4%1.2977.5%0.0%-77.5%
Bet3651.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%
Betfair1.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%
Unibet1.2381.3%0.0%-81.3%
Marathonbet1.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%

Model reasoning

Kahraba Ismailia have only played one match this season, finishing with a 1-1 result, so there isn’t much evidence yet about their goal patterns. Proxy, however, have a substantial sample size with 41 goals scored and 31 conceded across 34 matches, which suggests they can contribute offensively but also allow goals. For the match outcome, the probabilities are relatively balanced, with the home side at 41.8% and a draw at 31.1%, while Proxy are at 27.1%. That mix aligns with a game that could stay competitive rather than turning into a one-sided scoring event. On goals, the model leans slightly toward fewer goals overall, with over 2.5 goals at 38.0% versus under 2.5 implied by the remaining share. At the same time, both teams to score is rated at 45.1%, indicating a meaningful chance of at least one team finding the net, even if a high total is less likely. Given the low confidence score of 35 and the high risk level, this looks like a cautious under 2.5 goals angle rather than a strong conviction, especially since Proxy’s season scoring and conceded totals could still support a 2-1 or 1-1 type outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:37 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Kahraba Ismailia predictions · Proxy predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.