Navbahor vs Bunyodkor
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 76/100
Home Win
Navbahor (LDDWW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 0.9 for Bunyodkor (LLLLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 76/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
76/100
Strongest cover
1X
88.0% probability
Risk classification
Medium
19.8% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Navbahor
8/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.50
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Bunyodkor
0/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.07
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 9/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 14, 12:01 PM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Bunyodkor 2-1 Navbahor
2026-04-29T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Navbahor 0-2 Bunyodkor
2025-10-18T14:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bunyodkor 2-3 Navbahor
2025-05-18T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Navbahor 2-2 Bunyodkor
2024-08-19T16:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bunyodkor 2-2 Navbahor
2024-03-17T14:45:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Navbahor 3-0 Bunyodkor
2023-11-11T13:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Bunyodkor 1-5 Navbahor
2023-05-22T16:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bunyodkor 2-1 Navbahor
2022-10-01T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Navbahor 2-1 Bunyodkor
2022-05-06T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Navbahor 2-1 Bunyodkor
2021-10-17T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetfairBest price +7.1% | 7.50 | 13.3% | 12.0% | -1.3% |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 13.3% | 12.0% | -1.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 7.20 | 13.9% | 12.0% | -1.9% | |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 14.3% | 12.0% | -2.3% | |
| 10Bet | 6.80 | 14.7% | 12.0% | -2.7% | |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 16.7% | 12.0% | -4.7% | |
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +6.2% | 4.60 | 21.7% | 19.8% | -1.9% |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 22.7% | 19.8% | -2.9% | |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 22.7% | 19.8% | -2.9% | |
| 10Bet | 4.20 | 23.8% | 19.8% | -4.0% | |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 23.8% | 19.8% | -4.0% | |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 23.8% | 19.8% | -4.0% | |
Home 1X2 | Bet365Best price +3.4% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 68.2% | -3.2% |
| 10Bet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 68.2% | -5.3% | |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 73.5% | 68.2% | -5.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 73.5% | 68.2% | -5.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 74.6% | 68.2% | -6.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 68.2% | -8.7% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +1.4% | 2.10 | 47.6% | 45.0% | -2.6% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 47.6% | 45.0% | -2.6% | |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 47.6% | 45.0% | -2.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 48.5% | 45.0% | -3.5% | |
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.0% | -5.0% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.2% | 1.70 | 58.8% | 55.0% | -3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.0% | -4.9% | |
| 10Bet | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.0% | -5.6% | |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.0% | -5.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.0% | -5.6% | |
Yes BTTS | BetfairBest price +2.6% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 48.3% | -3.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.3% | -4.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.3% | -4.3% | |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.3% | -5.8% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +1.4% | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.7% | -3.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.7% | -3.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.7% | -5.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.7% | -5.4% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +6.4% | 3.00 | 33.3% | 0.0% | -33.3% |
| 10Bet | 2.90 | 34.5% | 0.0% | -34.5% | |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 34.7% | 0.0% | -34.7% | |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 35.7% | 0.0% | -35.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 36.5% | 0.0% | -36.5% | |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 38.5% | 0.0% | -38.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.1% | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% | |
| 10Bet | 1.12 | 89.3% | 0.0% | -89.3% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.0% | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% | |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% | |
| 10Bet | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 14 Aug 2026 13:04 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
Team hubs: Navbahor predictions · Bunyodkor predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.