UEFA Europa League
Pre-match
High risk

KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan

Thu, Aug 13, 05:30 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 35/100

Model verdict
High risk

Away Win

KI Klaksvik (L) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.2 for Lech Poznan (LW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

12

74.5% probability

Risk classification

High

25.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

KK win31.5%
Draw25.5%
LP win43%

Goals

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Under 2.553.9%

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

KI Klaksvik

0/3 recent form points

L
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Lech Poznan

3/6 recent form points

LW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.50
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Lech Poznan 1-0 KI Klaksvik

2026-08-06T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Lech Poznan has the stronger recent output in this sample, with 3 goals scored across 2 matches versus KI Klaksvik’s 0 goals in 1 match. KI Klaksvik’s only recorded game ended in a 1-0 loss, while Lech Poznan has one win and one loss, giving them the edge in match results. The goal profiles also lean toward Lech Poznan. KI Klaksvik conceded 1 goal in their match, and Lech Poznan has conceded 6 across 2 matches, which suggests a game that could produce goals rather than a tight, low-scoring contest. That aligns with the probabilities showing over 2.5 goals at 46.1%. Both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 52.0%, which fits the combination of KI Klaksvik’s lack of clean sheets and Lech Poznan’s tendency to allow goals. With the away win probability at 43.0% (higher than the home win at 31.5%), the away side is favored, but the draw at 25.5% keeps the outcome from looking secure. Overall, the away win call is reasonable but not strongly supported, reflected by the 35 confidence score and the high risk level.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Tue, 11 Aug 2026 18:26 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: KI Klaksvik predictions · Lech Poznan predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.