Calcutta Premier Division
Finished
High risk

NA Suruchi Sangha vs Police result & prediction review

01Full time
Fri, Aug 14, 09:30 AM

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 62/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

NA Suruchi Sangha (WLDLL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.2 for Police (WDDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 62/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

62/100

Confidence
62/100

Strongest cover

12

71.8% probability

Risk classification

High

28.2% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

NSS win37.4%
Draw28.2%
P win34.4%

Goals

Over 1.573%
Over 2.546.8%
Under 2.553.2%

Both teams to score

Yes52.6%
No47.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

NA Suruchi Sangha

4/15 recent form points

WLDLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.10
Shots on target
Unavailable

Police

5/15 recent form points

WDDLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.18
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 1/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

NA Suruchi Sangha 0-1 Police

2026-08-14T11:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

NA Suruchi Sangha 2-2 Police

2025-08-12T11:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for NA Suruchi Sangha vs Police. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-1

Pre-kickoff call

Under 2.5 Goals · 54.6% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.2548 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Fri, 14 Aug 2026 01:04 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: NA Suruchi Sangha predictions · Police predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.