U19 League
Finished
High risk

LNZ Cherkasy U19 vs Lviv U19

31Full time
Wed, Aug 19, 08:00 AM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 47/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

LNZ Cherkasy U19 (LLWLL) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.1 for Lviv U19 (LLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 47/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

47/100

Confidence
47/100

Strongest cover

1X

80.2% probability

Risk classification

High

23.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

LCU win56.8%
Draw23.4%
LU win19.8%

Goals

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

LNZ Cherkasy U19

3/15 recent form points

LLWLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.60
Shots on target
Unavailable

Lviv U19

3/12 recent form points

LLLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.50
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

LNZ Cherkasy U19 3-1 Lviv U19

2026-08-19T10:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

LNZ Cherkasy U19 have a more balanced overall profile than Lviv U19, with 11 wins in 30 matches and a near-even goal record (48 scored, 46 conceded). Lviv U19’s sample is much smaller (4 matches) and they’ve struggled to generate offense (2 scored) while conceding more than they’ve scored (6 conceded). In recent form, LNZ Cherkasy U19 show a mixed run with more losses than wins (LLWLL), while Lviv U19 have also been inconsistent (LLLW). That said, the underlying season goal difference and win count still lean toward LNZ Cherkasy U19, which aligns with the home win probability being the highest (56.8%). The match also projects as fairly open rather than low-scoring, with over 2.5 goals at 53.0% and both teams to score at 54.7%. With Lviv U19 conceding 6 in only 4 matches, they may be vulnerable, but their ability to score is limited, so the “both teams to score” lean is only moderate. Overall, the home win call is supported more by LNZ Cherkasy U19’s broader season record than by strong recent momentum, which is why the confidence is relatively low (47) and the risk is high.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-1

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 59.7% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.0978 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 19 Aug 2026 00:05 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: LNZ Cherkasy U19 predictions · Lviv U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.