Lillestrøm U19 vs Tromsø U19
AI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence 73/100
Over 2.5 Goals
Lillestrøm U19 (WWLWW) project at 2.4 expected goals versus 1.4 for Tromsø U19 (WWDWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 73/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
73/100
Strongest cover
1X
82.9% probability
Risk classification
Medium
17.2% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
38 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Lillestrøm U19
12/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 3.44
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Tromsø U19
10/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.22
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/8 and Over 2.5 in 7/8.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 26, 08:17 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Tromsø U19 1-3 Lillestrøm U19
2026-08-20T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm U19 3-2 Tromsø U19
2026-03-11T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Tromsø U19 4-3 Lillestrøm U19
2025-03-09T12:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm U19 3-1 Tromsø U19
2025-03-01T16:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Tromsø U19 1-4 Lillestrøm U19
2023-04-05T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm U19 2-0 Tromsø U19
2023-01-29T14:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tromsø U19 2-2 Lillestrøm U19
2022-06-22T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm U19 3-0 Tromsø U19
2022-05-28T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +5.7% | 5.08 | 19.7% | 17.2% | -2.5% |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17.2% | -2.8% | |
| Superbet | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17.2% | -2.8% | |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 21.1% | 17.2% | -3.9% | |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 21.7% | 17.2% | -4.5% | |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 22.7% | 17.2% | -5.5% | |
Away 1X2 | Bet365Best price +4.0% | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17.1% | -2.9% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17.1% | -2.9% | |
| Superbet | 4.85 | 20.6% | 17.1% | -3.5% | |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 20.8% | 17.1% | -3.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 4.69 | 21.3% | 17.1% | -4.2% | |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 22.2% | 17.1% | -5.1% | |
Home 1X2 | SuperbetBest price +1.4% | 1.41 | 70.9% | 65.7% | -5.2% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.7% | -5.7% | |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.7% | -5.7% | |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.7% | -5.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.7% | -5.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 65.7% | -9.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365 | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.9% | -1.3% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365 | 1.17 | 85.5% | 79.1% | -6.4% |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +15.5% | 3.90 | 25.6% | 27.2% | +1.6% |
| Superbet | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27.2% | -0.6% | |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 38.0% | 27.2% | -10.8% | |
Yes BTTS | SuperbetBest price +2.2% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 72.8% | -7.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 72.8% | -9.2% | |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 83.3% | 72.8% | -10.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.1% | 2.63 | 38.0% | 0.0% | -38.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 38.5% | 0.0% | -38.5% | |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 40.0% | 0.0% | -40.0% | |
| Superbet | 2.47 | 40.5% | 0.0% | -40.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.5% | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% | |
| Superbet | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.2% | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% | |
| Superbet | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 26 Aug 2026 10:02 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
Team hubs: Lillestrøm U19 predictions · Tromsø U19 predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.