La Liga
Pre-match
High risk

Levante vs Real Betis

Sat, Aug 29, 03:00 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 48/100

Model verdict
High risk

Away Win

Levante (LWWWL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.5 for Real Betis (WDWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 48/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

48/100

Confidence
48/100

Strongest cover

X2

73.7% probability

Risk classification

High

27.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

L win26.3%
Draw27.4%
RB win46.3%

Goals

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Under 2.553.6%

Both teams to score

Yes50.6%
No49.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Levante

9/15 recent form points

LWWWL
xG / match
0.20
xGA / match
2.01
Goals / match
1.24
Shots on target
Unavailable

Real Betis

10/15 recent form points

WDWLW
xG / match
1.70
xGA / match
1.14
Goals / match
1.55
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

L derived xG

0.67

RB derived xG

1.85

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 2.52. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/10 and Over 2.5 in 9/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Real Betis 2-1 Levante

2026-05-23T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 2-2 Real Betis

2025-09-14T16:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 2-4 Real Betis

2022-02-13T16:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Real Betis 3-1 Levante

2021-11-28T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Real Betis 2-0 Levante

2021-03-19T21:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Levante 4-3 Real Betis

2020-12-29T21:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 4-2 Real Betis

2020-06-28T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Real Betis 3-1 Levante

2019-09-24T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 4-0 Real Betis

2019-04-24T21:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Real Betis 0-3 Levante

2018-08-17T22:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Real Betis look slightly more likely to win away, with their record reading 15W 15D 8L versus Levante’s 11W 9D 18L at home. Betis also have a better overall goal profile, scoring 59 and conceding 48 compared with Levante’s 47 scored and 61 conceded, which supports the away-win lean. The recent form is mixed but still nudges toward Betis: Levante’s sequence LWWWL includes three wins in their last five, while Betis’ WDWLW shows more consistency without a heavy losing streak. In expected terms, Betis’ expected goals for are much higher (64.44 vs 7.46), while their expected goals against are lower (43.32 vs 76.38), suggesting they should create and limit chances more effectively. The draw probability is close at 27.4%, so the away win isn’t dominant. With over 2.5 goals at 46.4% and both teams to score at 50.6%, the matchup also points to a fairly open game where Levante can still find a goal, even if Betis are the better side overall. Given the confidence score of 48 and the high risk level, this is best viewed as a marginal edge for Real Betis rather than a strong, clear-cut outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: Levante predictions · Real Betis predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.