Legia Warszawa U19 vs Lech Poznań U19
0–115′
AI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence 58/100
Over 2.5 Goals
Legia Warszawa U19 (WWWLW) project at 2.4 expected goals versus 1.5 for Lech Poznań U19 (WLWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 58/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
58/100
Strongest cover
12
79.3% probability
Risk classification
High
20.7% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
45 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Legia Warszawa U19
12/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.87
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Lech Poznań U19
9/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.47
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/7 and Over 2.5 in 6/7.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 28, 06:17 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Legia Warszawa U19 5-1 Lech Poznań U19
2025-11-29T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań U19 3-1 Legia Warszawa U19
2025-08-16T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań U19 2-1 Legia Warszawa U19
2025-05-31T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa U19 2-2 Lech Poznań U19
2024-11-16T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa U19 2-1 Lech Poznań U19
2024-04-19T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań U19 2-2 Legia Warszawa U19
2023-10-08T12:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań U19 0-2 Legia Warszawa U19
2023-04-29T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +12.7% | 4.60 | 21.7% | 20.7% | -1.0% |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.7% | -2.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 24.4% | 20.7% | -3.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 4.01 | 24.9% | 20.7% | -4.2% | |
| William Hill | 3.75 | 26.7% | 20.7% | -6.0% | |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 27.0% | 20.7% | -6.3% | |
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +8.3% | 4.10 | 24.4% | 22.3% | -2.1% |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 25.0% | 22.3% | -2.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.82 | 26.2% | 22.3% | -3.9% | |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 27.0% | 22.3% | -4.7% | |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 27.8% | 22.3% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 28.6% | 22.3% | -6.3% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +0.9% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 57.0% | -4.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 61.7% | 57.0% | -4.7% | |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 61.7% | 57.0% | -4.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 61.7% | 57.0% | -4.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.0% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 64.5% | 57.0% | -7.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +10.3% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 30.3% | -0.5% |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 32.9% | 30.3% | -2.6% | |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30.3% | -8.9% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.1% | 1.33 | 75.2% | 69.7% | -5.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 77.5% | 69.7% | -7.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 80.0% | 69.7% | -10.3% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +3.8% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 32.7% | -3.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 35.8% | 32.7% | -3.1% | |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 40.0% | 32.7% | -7.3% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +3.0% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 67.3% | -6.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 74.1% | 67.3% | -6.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 80.0% | 67.3% | -12.7% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +1.4% | 2.10 | 47.6% | 0.0% | -47.6% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 0.0% | -47.6% | |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 47.6% | 0.0% | -47.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 48.5% | 0.0% | -48.5% | |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.5% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +4.9% | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:31 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
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Team hubs: Legia Warszawa U19 predictions · Lech Poznań U19 predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.