Pre-match

Medium risk

Dinamo Moskva U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20

Fri, Aug 28, 12:00 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 74/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Dinamo Moskva U19 (WLLLW) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1.7 for Akademiya Konoplev U20 (WDLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

74/100

Confidence

74/100

Strongest cover

75.0% probability

Risk classification

Medium

25.0% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

4 sources

33 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

DMU win42.8%

Draw25%

AKU win32.2%

Goals

Over 1.586.9%

Over 2.570.4%

Under 2.529.6%

Both teams to score

Yes71.9%

No28.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Dinamo Moskva U19

6/15 recent form points

WLLLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.60
Shots on target: Unavailable

Akademiya Konoplev U20

10/15 recent form points

WDLWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.05
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 28, 08:27 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Akademiya Konoplev U20 3-2 Dinamo Moskva U19

2026-04-17T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Dinamo Moskva U19 3-1 Akademiya Konoplev U20

2025-08-01T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Akademiya Konoplev U20 3-4 Dinamo Moskva U19

2025-03-14T11:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Akademiya Konoplev U20 3-6 Dinamo Moskva U19

2024-11-01T13:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Dinamo Moskva U19 2-0 Akademiya Konoplev U20

2024-09-20T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Akademiya Konoplev U20 2-0 Dinamo Moskva U19

2023-10-27T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Dinamo Moskva U19 4-1 Akademiya Konoplev U20

2021-11-26T11:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Akademiya Konoplev U20 3-1 Dinamo Moskva U19

2021-07-27T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Akademiya Konoplev U20 2-4 Dinamo Moskva U19

2021-05-05T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Dinamo Moskva U19 1-2 Akademiya Konoplev U20

2021-04-03T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	DafabetBest price +2.1%	3.60	27.8%	25.0%	-2.8%
	Marathonbet	3.50	28.6%	25.0%	-3.6%
	1xBet	3.50	28.6%	25.0%	-3.6%
	Superbet	3.50	28.6%	25.0%	-3.6%
Away 1X2	DafabetBest price +1.4%	2.85	35.1%	32.2%	-2.9%
	Superbet	2.82	35.5%	32.2%	-3.3%
	1xBet	2.81	35.6%	32.2%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	2.76	36.2%	32.2%	-4.0%
Home 1X2	1xBetBest price +1.0%	2.18	45.9%	42.8%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	2.16	46.3%	42.8%	-3.5%
	Superbet	2.15	46.5%	42.8%	-3.7%
	Dafabet	2.14	46.7%	42.8%	-3.9%
Under 2.5 Totals	MarathonbetBest price +0.3%	3.08	32.5%	29.6%	-2.9%
	1xBet	3.08	32.5%	29.6%	-2.9%
	Superbet	3.05	32.8%	29.6%	-3.2%
Over 2.5 Totals	SuperbetBest price +0.5%	1.29	77.5%	70.4%	-7.1%
	Marathonbet	1.28	78.1%	70.4%	-7.7%
	1xBet	1.28	78.1%	70.4%	-7.7%
No BTTS	1xBetBest price +1.9%	3.36	29.8%	28.1%	-1.7%
	Marathonbet	3.28	30.5%	28.1%	-2.4%
	Superbet	3.25	30.8%	28.1%	-2.7%
Yes BTTS	SuperbetBest price +1.6%	1.30	76.9%	71.9%	-5.0%
	Marathonbet	1.27	78.7%	71.9%	-6.8%
	1xBet	1.27	78.7%	71.9%	-6.8%
Draw or Away Double Chance	SuperbetBest price +0.4%	1.56	64.1%	0.0%	-64.1%
	Marathonbet	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	1xBet	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
Home or Draw Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price +0.2%	1.34	74.6%	0.0%	-74.6%
	1xBet	1.34	74.6%	0.0%	-74.6%
	Superbet	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
Home or Away Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	1xBet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Superbet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Dinamo Moskva U19 vs Akademiya Konoplev U20. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 28 Aug 2026 10:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

More predictions

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Team hubs: Dinamo Moskva U19 predictions · Akademiya Konoplev U20 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.