Pre-match

Medium risk

Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets

Fri, Aug 28, 10:30 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 66/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Adelaide Olympic (WWWLW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.3 for Modbury Jets (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 66/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

66/100

Confidence

66/100

Strongest cover

74.0% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.0% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

50 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AO win30.1%

Draw26%

MJ win43.9%

Goals

Over 1.578.4%

Over 2.554.4%

Under 2.545.6%

Both teams to score

Yes57%

No43%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Adelaide Olympic

12/15 recent form points

WWWLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.96
Shots on target: Unavailable

Modbury Jets

15/15 recent form points

WWWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.09
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/8 and Over 2.5 in 7/8.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 28, 08:38 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Modbury Jets 4-1 Adelaide Olympic

2026-06-27T07:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Adelaide Olympic 1-1 Modbury Jets

2026-03-27T10:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Adelaide Olympic 1-4 Modbury Jets

2024-06-22T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Modbury Jets 3-1 Adelaide Olympic

2024-03-30T05:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Modbury Jets 1-3 Adelaide Olympic

2023-07-08T07:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Adelaide Olympic 3-2 Modbury Jets

2023-04-22T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Adelaide Olympic 2-4 Modbury Jets

2020-09-12T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Modbury Jets 1-2 Adelaide Olympic

2020-07-24T12:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +3.2%	3.50	28.6%	26.0%	-2.6%
	Betfair	3.50	28.6%	26.0%	-2.6%
	Unibet	3.40	29.4%	26.0%	-3.4%
	BetVictor	3.40	29.4%	26.0%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	3.30	30.3%	26.0%	-4.3%
	William Hill	3.25	30.8%	26.0%	-4.8%
Home 1X2	BetVictorBest price +2.7%	3.10	32.3%	30.1%	-2.2%
	Marathonbet	3.06	32.7%	30.1%	-2.6%
	William Hill	3.00	33.3%	30.1%	-3.2%
	Bet365	3.00	33.3%	30.1%	-3.2%
	Betfair	3.00	33.3%	30.1%	-3.2%
	Unibet	2.95	33.9%	30.1%	-3.8%
Away 1X2	BetVictorBest price +2.1%	2.10	47.6%	43.9%	-3.7%
	Marathonbet	2.07	48.3%	43.9%	-4.4%
	William Hill	2.05	48.8%	43.9%	-4.9%
	Bet365	2.05	48.8%	43.9%	-4.9%
	Betfair	2.05	48.8%	43.9%	-4.9%
	Unibet	2.02	49.5%	43.9%	-5.6%
Under 2.5 Totals	UnibetBest price +8.5%	2.20	45.5%	45.6%	+0.1%
	Bet365	2.05	48.8%	45.6%	-3.2%
	Marathonbet	1.93	51.8%	45.6%	-6.2%
	BetVictor	1.93	51.8%	45.6%	-6.2%
Over 2.5 Totals	MarathonbetBest price +3.5%	1.76	56.8%	54.4%	-2.4%
	Bet365	1.75	57.1%	54.4%	-2.7%
	BetVictor	1.75	57.1%	54.4%	-2.7%
	Unibet	1.54	64.9%	54.4%	-10.5%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +0.9%	2.15	46.5%	43.0%	-3.5%
	BetVictor	2.15	46.5%	43.0%	-3.5%
	Marathonbet	2.09	47.8%	43.0%	-4.8%
Yes BTTS	BetVictorBest price +0.6%	1.62	61.7%	57.0%	-4.7%
	Marathonbet	1.61	62.1%	57.0%	-5.1%
	William Hill	1.60	62.5%	57.0%	-5.5%
Home or Draw Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.2%	1.67	59.9%	0.0%	-59.9%
	Bet365	1.67	59.9%	0.0%	-59.9%
	Betfair	1.67	59.9%	0.0%	-59.9%
	BetVictor	1.62	61.7%	0.0%	-61.7%
	Marathonbet	1.59	62.9%	0.0%	-62.9%
	Unibet	1.58	63.3%	0.0%	-63.3%
Draw or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.4%	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Betfair	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	BetVictor	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Bet365	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	Marathonbet	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	Unibet	1.27	78.7%	0.0%	-78.7%
Home or Away Double Chance	BetVictorBest price +4.6%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	William Hill	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	Bet365	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Unibet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 28 Aug 2026 09:02 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Adelaide Olympic predictions · Modbury Jets predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.