Pre-match

Low risk

Kubikenborg vs Gottne

Thu, Aug 27, 05:00 PM

AI prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Confidence 77/100

Model verdict

Low risk

Over 2.5 Goals

Kubikenborg (LLWWW) project at 2.1 expected goals versus 1.4 for Gottne (LLWLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 77/100 confidence with low risk.

Confidence

77/100

Confidence

77/100

Strongest cover

78.0% probability

Risk classification

Low

22.0% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

3 sources

17 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

K win54.5%

Draw22%

G win23.5%

Goals

Over 1.587.1%

Over 2.566.6%

Under 2.533.4%

Both teams to score

Yes66.6%

No33.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Kubikenborg

9/15 recent form points

LLWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.06
Shots on target: Unavailable

Gottne

4/15 recent form points

LLWLD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.24
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/7 and Over 2.5 in 5/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 26, 04:15 PM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Low · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Kubikenborg 2-3 Gottne

2026-06-18T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gottne 3-2 Kubikenborg

2026-04-18T17:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kubikenborg 0-1 Gottne

2025-09-24T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Gottne 0-1 Kubikenborg

2025-08-13T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kubikenborg 1-2 Gottne

2025-05-24T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gottne 1-2 Kubikenborg

2025-05-17T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kubikenborg 3-2 Gottne

2024-07-02T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	DafabetBest price +4.2%	4.10	24.4%	22.0%	-2.4%
	Superbet	3.90	25.6%	22.0%	-3.6%
	Unibet	3.80	26.3%	22.0%	-4.3%
Away 1X2	DafabetBest price +1.8%	3.75	26.7%	23.5%	-3.2%
	Unibet	3.70	27.0%	23.5%	-3.5%
	Superbet	3.60	27.8%	23.5%	-4.3%
Home 1X2	DafabetBest price +1.8%	1.74	57.5%	54.5%	-3.0%
	Superbet	1.73	57.8%	54.5%	-3.3%
	Unibet	1.66	60.2%	54.5%	-5.7%
Under 2.5 Totals	Unibet	2.70	37.0%	33.4%	-3.6%
Over 2.5 Totals	Unibet	1.36	73.5%	66.6%	-6.9%
Draw or Away Double Chance	UnibetBest price +0.3%	1.89	52.9%	0.0%	-52.9%
	Superbet	1.88	53.2%	0.0%	-53.2%
Home or Draw Double Chance	SuperbetBest price +1.3%	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Unibet	1.17	85.5%	0.0%	-85.5%
Home or Away Double Chance	SuperbetBest price +0.4%	1.17	85.5%	0.0%	-85.5%
	Unibet	1.16	86.2%	0.0%	-86.2%

Model reasoning

Kubikenborg have scored 35 goals in 17 matches and conceded 23, which suggests they can create chances at home even if their clean sheets are limited (2). Their recent form includes three wins in the last five games (LLWWW), indicating they’ve been able to find goals consistently enough to support a higher-scoring script. Gottne have also been productive in attack with 38 goals in 17 matches, but they concede more than they keep out (33 conceded, only 1 clean sheet). Their recent results are mixed (LLWLD), yet the overall goal totals point to matches where both sides can contribute. With both teams’ season scoring rates relatively strong and defensive records not especially tight, the matchup aligns with the over 2.5 goals angle. The probabilities provided also support this, with over 2.5 goals at 66.6% and both teams to score at 66.6%, while the low risk level fits the expectation of at least a couple of goals rather than a narrow outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 27 Aug 2026 02:46 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Kubikenborg predictions · Gottne predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.