Finished

High risk

Kolos Kovalivka U19 vs Oleksandria U19

2–3Full time

Wed, Aug 19, 11:00 AM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 58/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

Home Win

Kolos Kovalivka U19 (LWLWL) project at 2 expected goals versus 1.1 for Oleksandria U19 (WLLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

58/100

Confidence

58/100

Strongest cover

83.5% probability

Risk classification

High

21.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

KKU win62.5%

Draw21%

OU win16.5%

Goals

Over 1.582.2%

Over 2.560%

Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

Yes57.5%

No42.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Kolos Kovalivka U19

6/15 recent form points

LWLWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.67
Shots on target: Unavailable

Oleksandria U19

6/15 recent form points

WLLLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.17
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/7 and Over 2.5 in 4/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Kolos Kovalivka U19 2-3 Oleksandria U19

2026-08-19T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Oleksandria U19 2-0 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2026-05-01T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka U19 3-1 Oleksandria U19

2025-10-31T12:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka U19 5-1 Oleksandria U19

2025-03-06T12:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Oleksandria U19 0-3 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2024-08-30T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka U19 1-0 Oleksandria U19

2024-04-27T11:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Oleksandria U19 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2023-10-20T02:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Kolos Kovalivka U19 have the stronger overall record at 13W 5D 12L, with better goal difference from 50 scored and 37 conceded, plus 8 clean sheets compared with Oleksandria U19’s 4. Their recent form is mixed (LWLWL), but they still look more solid defensively and more productive in scoring across the season. Oleksandria U19’s season record is weaker at 8W 2D 20L, and they have conceded more heavily (62) while scoring fewer (35). Their recent run (WLLLW) also suggests inconsistency, which makes it harder for them to reliably turn matches into positive results away. The match profile points toward goals but not with full certainty: both teams to score is slightly favored at 57.5%, and over 2.5 goals is also supported at 60.0%. With those factors alongside Kolos’s home edge, a home win is the most likely outcome, though the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high given Oleksandria’s occasional wins and Kolos’s uneven recent form.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-2

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 62.6% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.5454 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 19 Aug 2026 10:01 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

More predictions

All U19 League predictions →

Team hubs: Kolos Kovalivka U19 predictions · Oleksandria U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.