U19 League
Finished
High risk

Karpaty Lviv U19 vs Rukh Vynnyky U19

14Full time
Thu, Aug 20, 12:00 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 49/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Karpaty Lviv U19 (WLLLL) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.9 for Rukh Vynnyky U19 (LLWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 49/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

49/100

Confidence
49/100

Strongest cover

12

77.2% probability

Risk classification

High

22.8% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

KLU win30.7%
Draw22.8%
RVU win46.5%

Goals

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.6%
Under 2.532.4%

Both teams to score

Yes68.3%
No31.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Karpaty Lviv U19

3/15 recent form points

WLLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.80
Shots on target
Unavailable

Rukh Vynnyky U19

9/15 recent form points

LLWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.40
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/5 and Over 2.5 in 4/5.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Karpaty Lviv U19 1-4 Rukh Vynnyky U19

2026-08-20T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Rukh Vynnyky U19 2-5 Karpaty Lviv U19

2026-04-24T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Karpaty Lviv U19 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky U19

2025-10-24T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Karpaty Lviv U19 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky U19

2025-04-18T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Rukh Vynnyky U19 2-2 Karpaty Lviv U19

2024-10-20T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Rukh Vynnyky U19 look slightly stronger overall, with a better record (17W 3D 10L) and a stronger goal profile (72 scored, 41 conceded) compared with Karpaty Lviv U19 (12W 3D 15L, 54 scored, 57 conceded). That defensive gap suggests Rukh may be able to control the game more effectively, which aligns with the higher away win probability. The BTTS Yes lean is supported by the scoring indicators: both teams have relatively high goal totals and, importantly, Karpaty’s conceded goals (57) imply they are conceding often enough for Rukh to find chances. With Rukh also scoring frequently (72 goals) and having more clean sheets (10), the match still has a meaningful chance of both sides scoring, reflected in the 68.3% both teams to score probability. The overall goal environment also points toward goals at both ends, with over 2.5 goals at 67.6%. Even though Karpaty’s recent form is weak (WLLLL), the season-long numbers keep the BTTS case alive, while the high risk level and only 49 confidence indicate the outcome is not especially stable. So the most reasonable read from these stats is BTTS Yes, with Rukh having the edge to win, but with enough variability from Karpaty’s recent form to keep confidence moderate.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-4

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 68.3%

Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.

Team hubs: Karpaty Lviv U19 predictions · Rukh Vynnyky U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.