Finished

High risk

Igman Konjic vs Stupčanica Olovo

0–3Full time

Wed, Aug 26, 03:00 PM

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 49/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Igman Konjic (WWDLL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.4 for Stupčanica Olovo (DDLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 49/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

49/100

Confidence

49/100

Strongest cover

71.7% probability

Risk classification

High

28.3% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

54 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

IK win31.7%

Draw28.3%

SO win40%

Goals

Over 1.575.2%

Over 2.543.8%

Under 2.556.2%

Both teams to score

Yes49.6%

No50.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Igman Konjic

7/15 recent form points

WWDLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.12
Shots on target: Unavailable

Stupčanica Olovo

5/15 recent form points

DDLLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.54
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/3 and Over 2.5 in 3/3.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Igman Konjic 0-3 Stupčanica Olovo

2026-08-26T17:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Igman Konjic 1-2 Stupčanica Olovo

2026-06-07T17:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Stupčanica Olovo 4-0 Igman Konjic

2025-11-16T13:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +4.1%	3.25	30.8%	28.3%	-2.5%
	10Bet	3.20	31.3%	28.3%	-2.9%
	Unibet	3.15	31.7%	28.3%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	3.14	31.8%	28.3%	-3.5%
	BetVictor	3.10	32.3%	28.3%	-4.0%
	William Hill	2.90	34.5%	28.3%	-6.2%
Home 1X2	BetVictorBest price +5.8%	3.00	33.3%	31.7%	-1.6%
	William Hill	2.90	34.5%	31.7%	-2.8%
	Bet365	2.88	34.7%	31.7%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	2.88	34.7%	31.7%	-3.0%
	Unibet	2.75	36.4%	31.7%	-4.7%
	10Bet	2.60	38.5%	31.7%	-6.8%
Away 1X2	10BetBest price +5.0%	2.38	42.0%	40.0%	-2.0%
	Unibet	2.28	43.9%	40.0%	-3.9%
	William Hill	2.25	44.4%	40.0%	-4.4%
	BetVictor	2.25	44.4%	40.0%	-4.4%
	Marathonbet	2.24	44.6%	40.0%	-4.6%
	Bet365	2.20	45.5%	40.0%	-5.5%
Over 2.5 Totals	BetVictorBest price +4.0%	2.20	45.5%	43.8%	-1.7%
	Marathonbet	2.17	46.1%	43.8%	-2.3%
	Bet365	2.15	46.5%	43.8%	-2.7%
	Unibet	2.06	48.5%	43.8%	-4.7%
	10Bet	2.00	50.0%	43.8%	-6.2%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +2.6%	1.67	59.9%	56.2%	-3.7%
	10Bet	1.65	60.6%	56.2%	-4.4%
	Unibet	1.62	61.7%	56.2%	-5.5%
	Marathonbet	1.60	62.5%	56.2%	-6.3%
	BetVictor	1.60	62.5%	56.2%	-6.3%
Yes BTTS	BetVictorBest price +2.0%	1.90	52.6%	49.6%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	1.87	53.5%	49.6%	-3.9%
	Unibet	1.85	54.1%	49.6%	-4.5%
	William Hill	1.83	54.6%	49.6%	-5.0%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +2.2%	1.85	54.1%	50.4%	-3.7%
	Unibet	1.82	54.9%	50.4%	-4.5%
	BetVictor	1.80	55.6%	50.4%	-5.2%
	Marathonbet	1.77	56.5%	50.4%	-6.1%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Bet365Best price +5.7%	1.60	62.5%	0.0%	-62.5%
	William Hill	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	BetVictor	1.53	65.4%	0.0%	-65.4%
	Marathonbet	1.51	66.2%	0.0%	-66.2%
	Unibet	1.47	68.0%	0.0%	-68.0%
	10Bet	1.42	70.4%	0.0%	-70.4%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +7.9%	1.44	69.4%	0.0%	-69.4%
	William Hill	1.35	74.1%	0.0%	-74.1%
	BetVictor	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Marathonbet	1.31	76.3%	0.0%	-76.3%
	Unibet	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Bet365	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +4.6%	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	BetVictor	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Marathonbet	1.26	79.4%	0.0%	-79.4%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Unibet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	10Bet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%

Model reasoning

Stupčanica Olovo look slightly more effective overall, with 40 goals scored and only 27 conceded in 26 matches, plus 7 clean sheets. Igman Konjic have 29 goals scored and 44 conceded, with 6 clean sheets, and their recent form includes two wins followed by two losses (WWDLL), suggesting inconsistency at both ends. For the goal total angle, the season defensive profile points toward fewer goals than a typical open game: Igman concede 44 across 26, while Stupčanica concede 27 across 26. Stupčanica’s away record is also relatively solid (12W 5D 9L), which can support a tighter match rather than a high-scoring one. The probabilities provided lean toward Under 2.5 goals being plausible but not dominant, with over 2.5 goals at 43.8% and both teams to score at 49.6%. With a confidence score of 49 and high risk level, the matchup could still produce a couple of goals from either side, but the balance of scoring and conceding suggests a lower-scoring outcome is at least as likely as a goal-heavy one.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-3

Pre-kickoff call

Under 2.5 Goals · 53.6%

Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.

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Team hubs: Igman Konjic predictions · Stupčanica Olovo predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.