1. Deild
Finished
Medium risk

Ægir vs Völsungur

02Full time
Thu, Aug 13, 06:00 PMGeoSalmo vollurinn

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 65/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Ægir (LLLLL) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.7 for Völsungur (LWLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 65/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

65/100

Confidence
65/100

Strongest cover

12

76.1% probability

Risk classification

Medium

23.9% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

Æ win34.8%
Draw23.9%
V win41.3%

Goals

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%

Both teams to score

Yes65.9%
No34.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Ægir

0/15 recent form points

LLLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.17
Shots on target
Unavailable

Völsungur

9/15 recent form points

LWLWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.39
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/8 and Over 2.5 in 6/8.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Ægir 0-2 Völsungur

2026-08-13T20:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Völsungur 2-3 Ægir

2026-05-31T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Ægir 0-0 Völsungur

2024-08-25T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Völsungur 1-2 Ægir

2024-06-23T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Völsungur 2-1 Ægir

2022-08-17T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Ægir 2-1 Völsungur

2022-06-11T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Völsungur 4-2 Ægir

2016-09-17T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Ægir 3-0 Völsungur

2016-07-09T16:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Völsungur’s away record is stronger than Ægir’s home record, with Völsungur winning 4 of 18 away matches versus Ægir winning 2 of 18 at home. The away side also has a better goal profile overall, scoring 25 and conceding 39 compared with Ægir’s 21 scored and 48 conceded, which supports the idea that both teams are likely to find scoring opportunities. Ægir’s season numbers point to frequent goals against them, with only 2 clean sheets in 18 matches and 48 goals conceded. Even though their recent form is very poor (five straight losses), their defensive record still suggests they may allow at least one goal. Völsungur’s recent form is more mixed-to-positive (LWLWW), and they have 3 clean sheets in 18 away matches, implying they can keep games open rather than consistently shutting out opponents. With both teams’ scoring and concession rates aligning, the matchup leans toward both teams scoring. The probabilities provided back this up: both teams to score is 65.9%, and over 2.5 goals is 64.1%. With a medium risk level and a 65 confidence score, BTTS Yes looks like the most supported angle, though the low confidence in Ægir’s recent form keeps it from being fully straightforward.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-2

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 66.7% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.2817 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Thu, 13 Aug 2026 00:31 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Ægir predictions · Völsungur predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.