Live

High risk

Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield Rangers

0–027′

Sun, Aug 16, 01:30 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 54/100

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

Gresford Athletic (LLLLL) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.7 for Brickfield Rangers (LWWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 54/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

54/100

Confidence

54/100

Strongest cover

77.2% probability

Risk classification

High

22.8% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

50 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

GA win28.3%

Draw22.8%

BR win48.9%

Goals

Over 1.585.7%

Over 2.560.1%

Under 2.539.9%

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%

No39.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Gresford Athletic

0/15 recent form points

LLLLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.57
Shots on target: Unavailable

Brickfield Rangers

9/15 recent form points

LWWLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.30
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/4 and Over 2.5 in 2/4.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 16, 12:01 PM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Gresford Athletic 1-1 Brickfield Rangers

2025-12-27T15:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Brickfield Rangers 1-1 Gresford Athletic

2025-10-25T15:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Gresford Athletic 3-0 Brickfield Rangers

2025-07-19T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Gresford Athletic 4-3 Brickfield Rangers

2018-10-20T15:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	MarathonbetBest price +7.0%	4.05	24.7%	22.8%	-1.9%
	William Hill	3.90	25.6%	22.8%	-2.8%
	Betfair	3.90	25.6%	22.8%	-2.8%
	10Bet	3.80	26.3%	22.8%	-3.5%
	Bet365	3.80	26.3%	22.8%	-3.5%
	BetVictor	3.25	30.8%	22.8%	-8.0%
Home 1X2	BetfairBest price +5.7%	3.30	30.3%	28.3%	-2.0%
	10Bet	3.20	31.3%	28.3%	-2.9%
	Bet365	3.10	32.3%	28.3%	-4.0%
	BetVictor	3.10	32.3%	28.3%	-4.0%
	Marathonbet	3.04	32.9%	28.3%	-4.6%
	William Hill	3.00	33.3%	28.3%	-5.0%
Away 1X2	Bet365Best price +3.3%	1.90	52.6%	48.9%	-3.7%
	Marathonbet	1.86	53.8%	48.9%	-4.9%
	10Bet	1.85	54.1%	48.9%	-5.2%
	William Hill	1.85	54.1%	48.9%	-5.2%
	Betfair	1.83	54.6%	48.9%	-5.7%
	BetVictor	1.75	57.1%	48.9%	-8.2%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +5.5%	2.35	42.6%	39.9%	-2.7%
	Marathonbet	2.33	42.9%	39.9%	-3.0%
	10Bet	2.25	44.4%	39.9%	-4.5%
	BetVictor	1.98	50.5%	39.9%	-10.6%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +4.8%	1.57	63.7%	60.1%	-3.6%
	10Bet	1.50	66.7%	60.1%	-6.6%
	Marathonbet	1.48	67.6%	60.1%	-7.5%
	BetVictor	1.44	69.4%	60.1%	-9.3%
No BTTS	MarathonbetBest price +6.4%	2.39	41.8%	39.1%	-2.7%
	William Hill	2.25	44.4%	39.1%	-5.3%
	BetVictor	2.10	47.6%	39.1%	-8.5%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +6.2%	1.55	64.5%	60.9%	-3.6%
	Marathonbet	1.47	68.0%	60.9%	-7.1%
	BetVictor	1.36	73.5%	60.9%	-12.6%
Home or Draw Double Chance	10BetBest price +3.2%	1.85	54.1%	0.0%	-54.1%
	Betfair	1.83	54.6%	0.0%	-54.6%
	William Hill	1.80	55.6%	0.0%	-55.6%
	Bet365	1.80	55.6%	0.0%	-55.6%
	Marathonbet	1.75	57.1%	0.0%	-57.1%
	BetVictor	1.73	57.8%	0.0%	-57.8%
Draw or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.7%	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	10Bet	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Betfair	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	BetVictor	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	Bet365	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	Marathonbet	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +4.1%	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Betfair	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Bet365	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%
	10Bet	1.17	85.5%	0.0%	-85.5%
	Marathonbet	1.16	86.2%	0.0%	-86.2%
	BetVictor	1.08	92.6%	0.0%	-92.6%

Model reasoning

Brickfield Rangers have the stronger overall results profile, with more wins than Gresford Athletic and a better goal record across the season. They also concede less on average, which supports their edge in match outcome, but it doesn’t fully eliminate the chance of Gresford scoring at home. Gresford Athletic’s season numbers show they struggle defensively, conceding 87 in 30 matches and keeping only 4 clean sheets. Even though their recent form is five straight losses, their low clean-sheet rate suggests they are vulnerable to conceding, which aligns with the higher likelihood of both teams finding goals. Brickfield Rangers’ attack is not dominant, but they have a solid clean-sheet count (8) and a mixed recent run that includes two wins in their last five. With both teams’ season profiles pointing toward at least one side scoring, the both teams to score signal is supported by the provided probability of 60.9%. The overall goal and BTTS lean is moderate rather than strong, reflected in the 54 confidence and high risk level. Over 2.5 goals is also favored at 60.1%, so the most consistent picture from these stats is a game where goals are likely at both ends, but the exact scoreline remains uncertain.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sun, 16 Aug 2026 13:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Gresford Athletic predictions · Brickfield Rangers predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.