Fulham vs Manchester United prediction
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 52/100
BTTS Yes
Fulham (WLLDW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.8 for Manchester United (WWDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 52/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
52/100
Strongest cover
12
76.1% probability
Risk classification
High
23.9% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Fulham
7/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 1.77
- xGA / match
- 2.17
- Goals / match
- 1.24
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Manchester United
13/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 2.51
- xGA / match
- 1.45
- Goals / match
- 1.82
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
F derived xG
1.61
MU derived xG
2.34
Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 3.95. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Manchester United 3-2 Fulham
2026-02-01T15:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Fulham 1-1 Manchester United
2025-08-24T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Manchester United 1-1 Fulham
2025-03-02T17:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Fulham 0-1 Manchester United
2025-01-26T20:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Manchester United 1-0 Fulham
2024-08-16T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Manchester United 1-2 Fulham
2024-02-24T16:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Fulham 0-1 Manchester United
2023-11-04T13:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Manchester United 2-1 Fulham
2023-05-28T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Manchester United 3-1 Fulham
2023-03-19T17:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Fulham 1-2 Manchester United
2022-11-13T17:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.
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Team hubs: Fulham predictions · Manchester United predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.