Finished

High risk

FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk result & prediction review

0–1Full time

Sun, Aug 16, 12:30 PMArena Livyi Bereg

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 51/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

FC Kharkiv (WLLWW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Shakhtar Donetsk (WWWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 51/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

51/100

Confidence

51/100

Strongest cover

73.4% probability

Risk classification

High

26.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

FK win38%

Draw26.6%

SD win35.4%

Goals

Over 1.575.6%

Over 2.550.3%

Under 2.549.7%

Both teams to score

Yes55%

No45%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

FC Kharkiv

9/15 recent form points

WLLWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Shakhtar Donetsk

12/15 recent form points

WWWLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/8 and Over 2.5 in 2/8.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

FC Kharkiv 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk

2026-08-16T14:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 FC Kharkiv

2026-03-15T17:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Kharkiv 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk

2025-09-13T17:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 FC Kharkiv

2023-12-03T16:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Kharkiv 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk

2023-07-29T16:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Kharkiv 0-7 Shakhtar Donetsk

2023-03-05T13:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 FC Kharkiv

2022-08-23T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 FC Kharkiv

2021-08-13T18:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-1

Pre-kickoff call

Under 2.5 Goals · 60.3% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.2185 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sun, 16 Aug 2026 12:00 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

More predictions

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Team hubs: FC Kharkiv predictions · Shakhtar Donetsk predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.