Finished

High risk

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg result & prediction review

2–6Full time

Sun, Sep 6, 01:00 PMStade de l'Aube

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 38/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

Estac Troyes (DWL) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1.5 for Strasbourg (WLDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 38/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

38/100

Confidence

38/100

Strongest cover

76.2% probability

Risk classification

High

23.8% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

ET win41.6%

Draw23.8%

S win34.6%

Goals

Over 1.585.2%

Over 2.564.8%

Under 2.535.2%

Both teams to score

Yes66.1%

No33.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Estac Troyes

4/9 recent form points

DWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.33
Shots on target: Unavailable

Strasbourg

10/15 recent form points

WLDWW

xG / match: 1.86
xGA / match: 2.65
Goals / match: 1.71
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 5/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Estac Troyes 2-6 Strasbourg

2026-09-06T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Estac Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg

2023-05-21T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Strasbourg 2-3 Estac Troyes

2023-01-02T15:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Estac Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg

2022-04-17T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Strasbourg 1-1 Estac Troyes

2021-08-22T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Strasbourg 2-1 Estac Troyes

2018-02-11T15:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Estac Troyes 3-0 Strasbourg

2017-11-04T20:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Estac Troyes 4-0 Strasbourg

2017-02-07T21:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Strasbourg 2-0 Estac Troyes

2016-09-12T20:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg. Data angle: team strength uses the 2026 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

2-6

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 47.4% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.3752 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:35 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

More predictions

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Team hubs: Estac Troyes predictions · Strasbourg predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.