Bundesliga
Finished
High risk

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg result & prediction review

14Full time
Sun, Sep 6, 03:30 PMDeutsche Bank Park

AI prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Confidence 52/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Over 2.5 Goals

Eintracht Frankfurt (LDLLD) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 1.9 for FC Augsburg (WDWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 52/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

52/100

Confidence
52/100

Strongest cover

12

78.5% probability

Risk classification

High

21.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

EF win43.7%
Draw21.5%
FA win34.8%

Goals

Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.3%
Under 2.522.7%

Both teams to score

Yes75.9%
No24.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Eintracht Frankfurt

2/15 recent form points

LDLLD
xG / match
2.31
xGA / match
1.86
Goals / match
1.79
Shots on target
Unavailable

FC Augsburg

10/15 recent form points

WDWWL
xG / match
3.49
xGA / match
2.17
Goals / match
1.32
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

EF derived xG

2.24

FA derived xG

2.68

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 4.92. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC Augsburg

2026-09-06T17:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-04-25T15:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Augsburg

2025-12-13T15:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Augsburg 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt

2025-04-20T15:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 FC Augsburg

2024-12-07T15:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 FC Augsburg

2024-04-19T20:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Augsburg 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2023-12-03T19:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 FC Augsburg

2023-04-29T15:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Augsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

2022-11-05T15:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2022-01-16T15:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Over 2.5 Goals lean for Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-4

Pre-kickoff call

Over 2.5 Goals · 82.0% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.1937 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:35 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Eintracht Frankfurt predictions · FC Augsburg predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.