Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg result & prediction review
1–4Full timeAI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence 52/100
Over 2.5 Goals
Eintracht Frankfurt (LDLLD) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 1.9 for FC Augsburg (WDWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 52/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
52/100
Strongest cover
12
78.5% probability
Risk classification
High
21.5% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Eintracht Frankfurt
2/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 2.31
- xGA / match
- 1.86
- Goals / match
- 1.79
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
FC Augsburg
10/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 3.49
- xGA / match
- 2.17
- Goals / match
- 1.32
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
EF derived xG
2.24
FA derived xG
2.68
Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 4.92. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC Augsburg
2026-09-06T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
2026-04-25T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FC Augsburg
2025-12-13T15:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
FC Augsburg 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
2025-04-20T15:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 FC Augsburg
2024-12-07T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 FC Augsburg
2024-04-19T20:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
2023-12-03T19:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 FC Augsburg
2023-04-29T15:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
FC Augsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
2022-11-05T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
FC Augsburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
2022-01-16T15:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-4
Pre-kickoff call
Over 2.5 Goals · 82.0% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1937 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:35 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
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Team hubs: Eintracht Frankfurt predictions · FC Augsburg predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.