Liga 3
Finished
Medium risk

Didube 2014 vs Betlemi

50Full time
Thu, Aug 13, 01:00 PM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 75/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

Didube 2014 (WLDWW) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 0.8 for Betlemi (LLDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

75/100

Confidence
75/100

Strongest cover

1X

90.3% probability

Risk classification

Medium

17.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

D2 win72.8%
Draw17.5%
B win9.7%

Goals

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.5%
Under 2.542.5%

Both teams to score

Yes49.8%
No50.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Didube 2014

10/15 recent form points

WLDWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.72
Shots on target
Unavailable

Betlemi

1/15 recent form points

LLDLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.56
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/4 and Over 2.5 in 3/4.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Didube 2014 5-0 Betlemi

2026-08-13T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Betlemi 0-2 Didube 2014

2026-03-12T13:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Betlemi 1-2 Didube 2014

2025-10-02T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Didube 2014 2-2 Betlemi

2025-05-01T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Didube 2014 have the stronger overall record at home, with 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses from 18 matches, plus a positive goal difference from 31 scored and 21 conceded. They also have more clean sheets than Betlemi (6 vs 3), which supports the idea that they can control the game at their ground. Betlemi’s away profile looks difficult, with only 2 wins and 12 losses in 18 matches, while conceding heavily (41 goals) and scoring just 10. Their recent form is also weak, with a run of LLDLL, which aligns with a lower chance of them turning the match around. The probabilities reflect this gap: Didube 2014 to win is favored at 72.8%, while the draw is still plausible at 17.5%. Over 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not (57.5%), and both teams to score is close to even (49.8%), suggesting Betlemi may occasionally find chances despite their struggles. With a medium risk level and a 75 confidence score, the home win looks like the most reasonable outcome, but the draw probability is not negligible, so it’s not a lock.

Recorded forecast

Final score

5-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 65.4% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.0692 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Thu, 13 Aug 2026 00:04 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Didube 2014 predictions · Betlemi predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.