Pre-match

Medium risk

Clermont Foot vs Boulogne prediction

Fri, Sep 11, 06:00 PMStade Gabriel Montpied

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 63/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Clermont Foot (DLDDD) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 0.9 for Boulogne (DLDDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 63/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

63/100

Confidence

63/100

Strongest cover

73.2% probability

Risk classification

Medium

29.9% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

CF win43.3%

Draw29.9%

B win26.8%

Goals

Over 1.564.2%

Over 2.536.5%

Under 2.563.5%

Both teams to score

Yes43.7%

No56.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Clermont Foot

4/15 recent form points

DLDDD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.60
Shots on target: Unavailable

Boulogne

4/15 recent form points

DLDDD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.40
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/7 and Over 2.5 in 3/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Boulogne 0-2 Clermont Foot

2026-02-20T20:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Clermont Foot 1-1 Boulogne

2025-12-05T20:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Clermont Foot 1-2 Boulogne

2025-05-25T17:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Boulogne 1-3 Clermont Foot

2025-05-20T20:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Boulogne 1-1 Clermont Foot

2012-04-20T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Clermont Foot 1-2 Boulogne

2011-12-17T15:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Boulogne 1-1 Clermont Foot

2010-08-06T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Clermont Foot vs Boulogne. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:42 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Clermont Foot predictions · Boulogne predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.