Pre-match

High risk

Bologna vs Torino prediction

Sat, Sep 19, 01:00 PM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 58/100

Model verdict

High risk

Home Win

Bologna (LDWWD) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1 for Torino (DLWLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

58/100

Confidence

58/100

Strongest cover

82.7% probability

Risk classification

High

22.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

B win60%

Draw22.7%

T win17.3%

Goals

Over 1.578.6%

Over 2.554.6%

Under 2.545.4%

Both teams to score

Yes53.5%

No46.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Bologna

8/15 recent form points

LDWWD

xG / match: 2.10
xGA / match: 0.94
Goals / match: 1.29
Shots on target: Unavailable

Torino

5/15 recent form points

DLWLD

xG / match: 1.13
xGA / match: 1.55
Goals / match: 1.16
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

B derived xG

1.83

T derived xG

1.04

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 2.86. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Torino 1-2 Bologna

2026-02-15T18:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Bologna 0-0 Torino

2025-10-29T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Bologna 3-2 Torino

2025-02-14T20:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Torino 0-2 Bologna

2024-12-21T15:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Torino 0-0 Bologna

2024-05-03T20:45:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Bologna 2-0 Torino

2023-11-27T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Torino 1-0 Bologna

2023-03-06T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Bologna 2-1 Torino

2022-11-06T12:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Bologna 0-0 Torino

2022-03-06T15:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Torino 2-1 Bologna

2021-12-12T12:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Bologna vs Torino. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

More predictions

All Serie A predictions →

Team hubs: Bologna predictions · Torino predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.