Austin II vs The Town
1–0Full timeAI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 73/100
BTTS Yes
Austin II (LWWWL) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.2 for The Town (LLWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 73/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
73/100
Strongest cover
12
74.9% probability
Risk classification
Medium
25.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
45 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Austin II
9/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.13
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
The Town
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.95
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/7 and Over 2.5 in 2/7.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 24, 12:13 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Austin II 1-0 The Town
2026-08-24T02:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 1-1 Austin II
2026-08-03T04:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 1-2 Austin II
2025-10-05T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Austin II 3-4 The Town
2024-10-06T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
The Town 0-0 Austin II
2024-04-21T04:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 0-2 Austin II
2023-08-13T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Austin II 0-1 The Town
2023-05-20T03:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +4.5% | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.1% | -2.7% |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 27.9% | 25.1% | -2.8% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.57 | 28.0% | 25.1% | -2.9% | |
| 10Bet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.1% | -3.5% | |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 25.1% | -5.2% | |
| SBO | 3.12 | 32.1% | 25.1% | -7.0% | |
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +3.0% | 3.34 | 29.9% | 26.6% | -3.3% |
| Pinnacle | 3.32 | 30.1% | 26.6% | -3.5% | |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26.6% | -3.7% | |
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 31.3% | 26.6% | -4.6% | |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 31.3% | 26.6% | -4.6% | |
| SBO | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26.6% | -5.7% | |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +5.3% | 2.01 | 49.8% | 48.3% | -1.5% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 51.3% | 48.3% | -3.0% | |
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.3% | -4.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 53.5% | 48.3% | -5.2% | |
| SBO | 1.86 | 53.8% | 48.3% | -5.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.3% | -5.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.7% | 2.25 | 44.4% | 42.3% | -2.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 45.2% | 42.3% | -2.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 47.2% | 42.3% | -4.9% | |
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 42.3% | -5.3% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +3.1% | 1.65 | 60.6% | 57.7% | -2.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 61.7% | 57.7% | -4.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 63.3% | 57.7% | -5.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 57.7% | -6.8% | |
No BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +0.9% | 2.24 | 44.6% | 41.1% | -3.5% |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 45.5% | 41.1% | -4.4% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.3% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | -4.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 65.4% | 58.9% | -6.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +5.5% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 0.0% | -52.4% |
| SBO | 1.85 | 54.1% | 0.0% | -54.1% | |
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 0.0% | -55.6% | |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 57.5% | 0.0% | -57.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +6.6% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| 10Bet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| SBO | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 10BetBest price +3.0% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% | |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| SBO | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-0
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 58.2%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
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Team hubs: Austin II predictions · The Town predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.