MLS Next Pro
Finished
Medium risk

Austin II vs The Town

10Full time
Mon, Aug 24, 12:30 AMParmer Filed

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 73/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Austin II (LWWWL) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.2 for The Town (LLWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 73/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

73/100

Confidence
73/100

Strongest cover

12

74.9% probability

Risk classification

Medium

25.1% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

45 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AI win48.3%
Draw25.1%
TT win26.6%

Goals

Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Austin II

9/15 recent form points

LWWWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.13
Shots on target
Unavailable

The Town

6/15 recent form points

LLWLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.95
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/7 and Over 2.5 in 2/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
Aug 24, 12:13 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Austin II 1-0 The Town

2026-08-24T02:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

The Town 1-1 Austin II

2026-08-03T04:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

The Town 1-2 Austin II

2025-10-05T22:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Austin II 3-4 The Town

2024-10-06T22:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

The Town 0-0 Austin II

2024-04-21T04:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

The Town 0-2 Austin II

2023-08-13T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Austin II 0-1 The Town

2023-05-20T03:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Draw
1X2
Bet365Best price +4.5%3.6027.8%25.1%-2.7%
Marathonbet3.5827.9%25.1%-2.8%
Pinnacle3.5728.0%25.1%-2.9%
10Bet3.5028.6%25.1%-3.5%
William Hill3.3030.3%25.1%-5.2%
SBO3.1232.1%25.1%-7.0%
Away
1X2
MarathonbetBest price +3.0%3.3429.9%26.6%-3.3%
Pinnacle3.3230.1%26.6%-3.5%
Bet3653.3030.3%26.6%-3.7%
10Bet3.2031.3%26.6%-4.6%
William Hill3.2031.3%26.6%-4.6%
SBO3.1032.3%26.6%-5.7%
Home
1X2
PinnacleBest price +5.3%2.0149.8%48.3%-1.5%
William Hill1.9551.3%48.3%-3.0%
10Bet1.9152.4%48.3%-4.1%
Marathonbet1.8753.5%48.3%-5.2%
SBO1.8653.8%48.3%-5.5%
Bet3651.8554.1%48.3%-5.8%
Under 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +3.7%2.2544.4%42.3%-2.1%
Pinnacle2.2145.2%42.3%-2.9%
Marathonbet2.1247.2%42.3%-4.9%
10Bet2.1047.6%42.3%-5.3%
Over 2.5
Totals
PinnacleBest price +3.1%1.6560.6%57.7%-2.9%
Bet3651.6261.7%57.7%-4.0%
Marathonbet1.5863.3%57.7%-5.6%
10Bet1.5564.5%57.7%-6.8%
No
BTTS
MarathonbetBest price +0.9%2.2444.6%41.1%-3.5%
William Hill2.2045.5%41.1%-4.4%
Yes
BTTS
William HillBest price +1.3%1.5763.7%58.9%-4.8%
Marathonbet1.5365.4%58.9%-6.5%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
Bet365Best price +5.5%1.9152.4%0.0%-52.4%
SBO1.8554.1%0.0%-54.1%
10Bet1.8055.6%0.0%-55.6%
William Hill1.7557.1%0.0%-57.1%
Marathonbet1.7457.5%0.0%-57.5%
Home or Away
Double Chance
William HillBest price +6.6%1.2977.5%0.0%-77.5%
10Bet1.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%
Bet3651.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%
Marathonbet1.2182.6%0.0%-82.6%
SBO1.1190.1%0.0%-90.1%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
10BetBest price +3.0%1.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%
William Hill1.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%
Marathonbet1.2480.6%0.0%-80.6%
Bet3651.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%
SBO1.1190.1%0.0%-90.1%

Model reasoning

Austin II at home have been relatively strong, with 17 wins from 23 matches and a solid goal record of 49 scored versus 23 conceded. They also keep the ball out of the net often enough, with 10 clean sheets, which suggests they can control games, even if their recent form includes one loss. The Town’s away record is more mixed, with 11 wins and 11 losses from 22 matches, and they have conceded 31 goals while scoring 43. Their clean sheets are low at 2, which implies they may struggle to prevent Austin II from finding chances, even though they can still score themselves. The matchup profile points toward both teams getting on the scoresheet, with both teams to score at 58.9% and over 2.5 goals at 57.7%. With Austin II’s defensive record stronger than The Town’s, a draw is plausible, but the scoring likelihood remains fairly balanced rather than one-sided. So a BTTS Yes lean fits the numbers, with a medium risk level and a 73 confidence score. The main uncertainty is that Austin II’s clean-sheet rate could reduce the chance of The Town scoring, even if their overall scoring output is decent.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 58.2%

Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.

Team hubs: Austin II predictions · The Town predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.